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ABG:JSEAbsa Group Limited Analysis

Data as of 2026-07-02 - not real-time

ZAC 21,800.00

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Absa Group trades at a trailing P/E of roughly 8.2, well below the industry average of 17.3, and its price‑to‑book ratio hovers just above 1, suggesting the stock is fundamentally undervalued. The dividend yield of 7.46% combined with a payout ratio under 60% signals a robust and sustainable income stream. Technicals show the price sitting near the identified support of 21,418 ZAc with an RSI of 31, indicating the stock is oversold and may be poised for a short‑term bounce. However, the MACD remains bearish and the histogram is deep in negative territory, tempering expectations of a swift rally. Volume trends are increasing, reinforcing the potential for renewed buying pressure. Analysts collectively rate the stock as a “buy” with a median target of 26,600 ZAc, implying roughly 24% upside from the current level.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • RSI indicating oversold conditions
  • Price near strong support level
  • Increasing trading volume

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Significant valuation discount to peers
  • High dividend yield with sustainable payout
  • Analyst consensus target implying ~24% upside

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Stable, high dividend income
  • Low beta indicating defensive profile
  • Strong cash position offsetting debt levels

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth5.50%
Profit Margin21.74%
P/E Ratio8.2
ROE13.67%
ROA1.19%
P/B Ratio1.0
Op. Cash FlowZAC-89350995968
Industry P/E17.3

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI31.9
SupportZAC 21,418.00
ResistanceZAC 25,454.00
MA 20ZAC 23,925.90
MA 50ZAC 23,590.66
MA 200ZAC 22,841.69
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.8

Valuation

Target PriceZAC 27,155.10
Upside/Downside24.56%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield7.46%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.04
Volatility32.35%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.