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ABCL:NASDAQAbCellera Biologics Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-27 - not real-time

$5.44

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

AbCellera Biologics is trading at $5.44, comfortably above its 20‑day (4.70), 50‑day (4.07) and 200‑day (4.16) SMA, while the RSI sits at 66.8 and the MACD histogram remains positive – a technically bullish picture that is tempered by a decreasing volume trend and a high 30‑day volatility of ~85%. Fundamentally, the company is cash‑rich ($504 M) but carries a sizable debt load ($134 M) and is posting deep losses (negative margins, negative cash flow), with a forward PE of –7.6 and a price‑to‑sales of 21, suggesting the current price may be undervalued relative to the consensus target of $10.4 (≈92% upside).
Recent material news shows the firm progressed its lead program into Phase II, beat Q1 revenue estimates despite a loss, and is slated to present at major healthcare investor conferences. Analyst sentiment is strongly positive (7 analysts, “strong_buy”), and the Fear & Greed Index is in “Extreme Greed” territory, indicating market enthusiasm that may be fueling the upside potential.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish technicals (price above SMAs, positive MACD)
  • Upcoming earnings release with revenue beat
  • Proximity to resistance level (~$5.63) limiting near‑term upside

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Phase II progression of lead drug candidate
  • Strong cash position versus debt and partnership pipelines
  • Analyst consensus (strong_buy) and ~92% price upside target

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • High clinical and regulatory risk inherent to biotech
  • Sustained negative earnings and cash‑flow burn
  • Potential for value realization if pipeline succeeds

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth96.30%
Profit Margin-181.74%
P/E Ratio-7.6
ROE-14.68%
ROA-9.99%
Debt/Equity14.32
P/B Ratio1.8
Op. Cash Flow$-153264000
Free Cash Flow$-105397248
Industry P/E27.4

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI66.8
Support$3.76
Resistance$5.63
MA 20$4.70
MA 50$4.07
MA 200$4.16
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.34

Valuation

Target Price$10.43
Upside/Downside91.70%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta2.68
Volatility84.84%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.