ABCL:NASDAQAbCellera Biologics Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-27 - not real-time
$5.44
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
AbCellera Biologics is trading at $5.44, comfortably above its 20‑day (4.70), 50‑day (4.07) and 200‑day (4.16) SMA, while the RSI sits at 66.8 and the MACD histogram remains positive – a technically bullish picture that is tempered by a decreasing volume trend and a high 30‑day volatility of ~85%. Fundamentally, the company is cash‑rich ($504 M) but carries a sizable debt load ($134 M) and is posting deep losses (negative margins, negative cash flow), with a forward PE of –7.6 and a price‑to‑sales of 21, suggesting the current price may be undervalued relative to the consensus target of $10.4 (≈92% upside).
Recent material news shows the firm progressed its lead program into Phase II, beat Q1 revenue estimates despite a loss, and is slated to present at major healthcare investor conferences. Analyst sentiment is strongly positive (7 analysts, “strong_buy”), and the Fear & Greed Index is in “Extreme Greed” territory, indicating market enthusiasm that may be fueling the upside potential.
Recent material news shows the firm progressed its lead program into Phase II, beat Q1 revenue estimates despite a loss, and is slated to present at major healthcare investor conferences. Analyst sentiment is strongly positive (7 analysts, “strong_buy”), and the Fear & Greed Index is in “Extreme Greed” territory, indicating market enthusiasm that may be fueling the upside potential.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bullish technicals (price above SMAs, positive MACD)
- Upcoming earnings release with revenue beat
- Proximity to resistance level (~$5.63) limiting near‑term upside
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Phase II progression of lead drug candidate
- Strong cash position versus debt and partnership pipelines
- Analyst consensus (strong_buy) and ~92% price upside target
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- High clinical and regulatory risk inherent to biotech
- Sustained negative earnings and cash‑flow burn
- Potential for value realization if pipeline succeeds
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth96.30%
Profit Margin-181.74%
P/E Ratio-7.6
ROE-14.68%
ROA-9.99%
Debt/Equity14.32
P/B Ratio1.8
Op. Cash Flow$-153264000
Free Cash Flow$-105397248
Industry P/E27.4
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI66.8
Support$3.76
Resistance$5.63
MA 20$4.70
MA 50$4.07
MA 200$4.16
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.34
Valuation
Target Price$10.43
Upside/Downside91.70%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta2.68
Volatility84.84%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.