ABCAP:AQUISEUABC arbitrage SA Analysis
Data as of 2026-09-09 - not real-time
₹396.95
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Aditya Birla Capital Limited trades at INR 396.95, with its short-term moving averages stacked above the longer-term ones — a bullish trend structure. RSI sits at 44.9, which reads as neutral, and MACD momentum is bearish. Watch INR 385.10 as support and INR 416.45 as the nearer resistance level.
On valuation the read is overvalued — earnings multiple of 25.7 versus a 16.2 sector average, above the peer group. Consensus targets land 16.4% above where the shares trade now. Revenue is growing at 31.4% on a 11.9% profit margin.
The composite risk read is 4/10, putting it in moderate territory. With 30-day volatility of 28.5%, a beta of 0.70 and a maximum drawdown of 19.7%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
Short, medium and long-term reads agree on hold, with conviction of 3/10.
On valuation the read is overvalued — earnings multiple of 25.7 versus a 16.2 sector average, above the peer group. Consensus targets land 16.4% above where the shares trade now. Revenue is growing at 31.4% on a 11.9% profit margin.
The composite risk read is 4/10, putting it in moderate territory. With 30-day volatility of 28.5%, a beta of 0.70 and a maximum drawdown of 19.7%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
Short, medium and long-term reads agree on hold, with conviction of 3/10.
Top Market Events
Asian News International4monAditya Birla Capital deploys conversational AI in 7 business verticals with Blue Machines...
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- Trading above the 200-day average of 361.37
- MACD momentum is negative
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 2/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- P/E of 25.7 versus sector average of 16.2
- Trading above the 200-day average of 361.37
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- P/E of 25.7 versus sector average of 16.2
- Analyst targets imply +16.4% versus the current price
- Revenue growth of +31.4%
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth31.40%
Profit Margin11.94%
P/E Ratio25.7
Debt/Equity495.94
P/B Ratio3.0
Industry P/E16.2
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI44.9
Support₹385.10
Resistance₹416.45
MA 20₹404.98
MA 50₹403.77
MA 200₹361.37
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index93.36
Valuation
Target Price₹462.21
Upside/Downside16.44%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta0.70
Volatility28.51%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.