ABCAP:AQUISEUABC arbitrage SA Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-22 - not real-time
₹391.95
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Aditya Birla Capital is trading at INR 391.95, comfortably above its 20‑day (360.18), 50‑day (353.77) and 200‑day (334.42) moving averages, indicating a strong bullish trend. The MACD is bullish (line 7.19 above signal 3.86) and volume is increasing, while the RSI at 68 suggests the stock is approaching overbought territory near its resistance of INR 392.90. The market sentiment is extremely positive, reflected by a Fear‑Greed Index of 90.18 (Extreme Greed).
Fundamentally, the company posted 7.7% revenue growth with solid gross (27.7%) and operating margins (13.7%), but its balance sheet is strained by a massive debt load (₹1.81 trillion) and a debt‑to‑equity ratio of 491.7, coupled with negative operating cash flow. The current PE of 27.5 is above the industry average (16.9), yet the forward PE of 16.0 aligns with peers, supporting a target price around INR 412. The consensus of 12 analysts rates the stock as a "strong buy" despite the lack of dividend.
Fundamentally, the company posted 7.7% revenue growth with solid gross (27.7%) and operating margins (13.7%), but its balance sheet is strained by a massive debt load (₹1.81 trillion) and a debt‑to‑equity ratio of 491.7, coupled with negative operating cash flow. The current PE of 27.5 is above the industry average (16.9), yet the forward PE of 16.0 aligns with peers, supporting a target price around INR 412. The consensus of 12 analysts rates the stock as a "strong buy" despite the lack of dividend.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price hovering just below resistance at INR 392.90
- RSI approaching overbought levels (68)
- Strong bullish MACD and rising volume
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Analyst consensus of "strong buy" with target median price INR 412.5
- Forward PE of 15.99 indicating valuation improvement
- Continued bullish technical momentum and increasing market optimism
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- High leverage (debt‑to‑equity > 490) and negative operating cash flow
- Diversified financial services platform with stable revenue growth
- Potential upside limited to ~5% based on upside/downside estimate
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth7.70%
Profit Margin11.65%
P/E Ratio27.5
ROE11.18%
ROA1.26%
Debt/Equity491.75
P/B Ratio3.0
Op. Cash Flow₹-365441187840
Industry P/E16.9
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI68.0
Support₹334.80
Resistance₹392.90
MA 20₹360.18
MA 50₹353.77
MA 200₹334.42
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.18
Valuation
Target Price₹411.42
Upside/Downside4.97%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta0.77
Volatility35.25%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.