ABBV:NYSEAbbVie Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-28 - not real-time
$215.40
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
AbbVie trades around $215, just below its DCF‑derived fair value of $224, implying roughly a 17% upside. The stock sits above its 20‑day SMA (≈209) and 50‑day SMA (≈208) but below the 200‑day SMA (≈219), indicating a neutral longer‑term trend. Technical momentum is supportive, with a bullish MACD histogram (+1.12) and an RSI of 59, suggesting room for further gains without imminent over‑bought pressure. Fundamentals show a very high trailing P/E of 105 versus an industry average of 27, yet a forward P/E of 13 and a solid 3.21% dividend yield provide a value cushion. Analyst consensus is a “Buy” with a median price target near $258, and recent news highlights a rising 3.4% dividend and an expanding drug pipeline, reinforcing the dividend appeal. However, the company carries substantial debt (≈$73 B) and a negative book value per share, which tempers the optimism. Overall, the combination of modest technical strength, attractive dividend, and DCF upside supports a cautiously bullish stance, while high valuation multiples and debt keep risk in check.
Investors should weigh the dividend’s sustainability against the elevated payout ratio and monitor debt‑related credit metrics while capitalizing on the near‑term upside potential.
Investors should weigh the dividend’s sustainability against the elevated payout ratio and monitor debt‑related credit metrics while capitalizing on the near‑term upside potential.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bullish MACD histogram indicating short‑term momentum
- Price near resistance but still below DCF fair value
- Decreasing volume suggesting caution on immediate breakout
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- DCF upside of ~17% and median analyst target around $258
- Rising dividend and 3.21% yield enhancing total return
- Strong pipeline of high‑growth drugs supporting earnings expansion
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Sustainable growth prospects from new product launches
- Attractive dividend yield despite high payout ratio concerns
- Low beta (≈0.17) and moderate volatility providing defensive characteristics
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth12.40%
Profit Margin5.79%
P/E Ratio105.1
ROA10.03%
P/B Ratio-57.2
Op. Cash Flow$21.2B
Free Cash Flow$20.8B
Industry P/E27.4
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI59.5
Support$190.75
Resistance$220.01
MA 20$208.99
MA 50$208.06
MA 200$219.39
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.59
Valuation
Fair Value$224.36
Target Price$252.90
Upside/Downside17.41%
GradeFair
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield3.21%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.17
Volatility23.00%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.