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ABBN:SIXABB Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-07-07 - not real-time

$107.65

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

ABB Ltd is trading at $107.65, comfortably above its 20‑day ($105.03) and 50‑day ($104.37) SMAs, with a bullish trend direction but a bearish MACD signal (histogram –0.04) hinting at short‑term pressure. RSI sits at 54.6, indicating neutral momentum, while volume has been decreasing, eroding liquidity near the current price. The stock faces a near‑term support level around $98.49 and resistance near $110.05, leaving little upside as the price already sits within 7% of the resistance band. Valuation metrics are stretched: a trailing PE of 40.5 versus an industry average of 32.2, a price‑to‑book of 52.9, and a DCF‑derived fair value of only $5.53, resulting in a –14% downside bias. Fundamentally, the company delivers solid growth with 18.3% revenue expansion, a gross margin of 40.4% and an impressive ROE of 33.5%, supported by $5.93 bn of cash and a moderate debt‑to‑equity of 59.7%. The dividend yield of 1.13% and a payout ratio below 45% suggest the payout is sustainable, though not a primary return driver. Global exposure across Europe, the Americas, and Asia adds diversification but also introduces medium‑high geographic and regulatory risk. Overall, the market has priced in strong growth expectations, but the technical and valuation signals warn of potential pull‑back before any longer‑term upside can materialize.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD histogram suggests near‑term downside pressure
  • Price is close to resistance with limited upside
  • Decreasing volume raises liquidity concerns

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Strong revenue growth and high ROE support earnings momentum
  • Valuation remains significantly above intrinsic DCF estimate
  • Sustainable dividend provides modest income cushion

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Robust operating margins and cash flow generation
  • Diversified global footprint reduces single‑region exposure
  • Long‑term secular demand for electrification and automation

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth18.30%
Profit Margin14.34%
P/E Ratio40.5
ROE33.55%
ROA8.93%
Debt/Equity59.72
P/B Ratio52.9
Op. Cash Flow$5.8B
Free Cash Flow$475.5M
Industry P/E32.2

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI54.6
Support$98.49
Resistance$110.05
MA 20$105.03
MA 50$104.37
MA 200$85.09
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.63

Valuation

Fair Value$5.53
Target Price$92.54
Upside/Downside-14.04%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield1.13%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.58
Volatility37.11%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.