AAPL:NASDAQApple Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-07-10 - not real-time
$314.45
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Apple’s stock is trading at $314.45, comfortably above its 20‑day (298.06) and 200‑day (272.45) moving averages, with a bullish MACD (4.55 vs signal 1.88) and an RSI of 62 indicating momentum but hinting at overbought conditions. Volume is on an increasing trend and the 30‑day volatility sits at a high 33.8%, while beta below 1 (0.85) suggests the stock is less sensitive to market swings. Fundamental metrics show a PE of 38.1, above the industry average of 34.7, and a DCF fair value of only $176.97, flagging significant overvaluation despite robust revenue growth of 16.6%, healthy operating margins (~32%) and a low dividend payout ratio (12.6%). Recent material news highlights a deepened supply‑chain partnership with Broadcom and mixed reactions to AI announcements at WWDC, which have introduced short‑term price pressure but reinforce long‑term strategic positioning.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Price above key moving averages and bullish MACD
- Elevated RSI and recent AI‑related price pullback
- Increasing volume supporting short‑term stability
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Strong revenue growth and operating cash flow generation
- Expanded Broadcom partnership improving supply‑chain resilience
- Low payout ratio and ample cash cushion despite high debt
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Durable ecosystem with recurring services revenue
- High ROE and robust free cash flow supporting continued innovation
- Brand strength and continued dividend growth potential
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth16.60%
Profit Margin27.15%
P/E Ratio38.1
ROE141.47%
ROA26.23%
Debt/Equity79.55
P/B Ratio43.3
Op. Cash Flow$140.2B
Free Cash Flow$101.1B
Industry P/E34.7
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI62.1
Support$273.75
Resistance$316.53
MA 20$298.06
MA 50$297.75
MA 200$272.45
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index94.11
Valuation
Fair Value$176.97
Target Price$315.57
Upside/Downside0.36%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.34%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.85
Volatility33.76%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.