AAPL:NASDAQApple Inc. analysis
Data as of Oct 7, 2026 - not real-time
- Latest price
- $333.63
- Risk: low
- 3/10Low risk
Summary
Apple Inc. trades at $333.63, with its short-term moving averages stacked above the longer-term ones — a bullish trend structure. Across the trailing 30 sessions it gained 7.5%. Momentum indicators put RSI at 54.6 (neutral) with MACD reading bearish. Watch $309.90 as support and $345.34 as the nearer resistance level.
Valuation screens as overvalued: a P/E of 38.2 sits in line with the sector average of 35.8. Revenue is growing at 16.4% on a 27.6% profit margin. The 0.32% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
The composite risk read is 3/10, putting it in low territory. With 30-day volatility of 21.1%, a beta of 0.68 and a maximum drawdown of 13.8%, the drawdown profile is forgiving relative to most of the market. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
Timeframes disagree: the short-term read is buy while the long-term read is hold, conviction 3 out of 10.
Valuation screens as overvalued: a P/E of 38.2 sits in line with the sector average of 35.8. Revenue is growing at 16.4% on a 27.6% profit margin. The 0.32% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
The composite risk read is 3/10, putting it in low territory. With 30-day volatility of 21.1%, a beta of 0.68 and a maximum drawdown of 13.8%, the drawdown profile is forgiving relative to most of the market. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
Timeframes disagree: the short-term read is buy while the long-term read is hold, conviction 3 out of 10.
Top market events
- Much of the sentiment for Apple Inc. NASDAQ:AAPL currently rests on its record Services revenue, a strong iPhone cycle,...
- A while ago, Apple NASDAQ:AAPL posted the kind of growth that rarely shows up at a company its size: fiscal...
- Apple stock traded at USD 332.72 on October 6, 2026, while consensus targets average USD 328.09. Q3
Market outlook
Short term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence4/104 out of 10
Key factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- Trading above the 200-day average of 289.76
- MACD momentum is negative
Medium term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence3/103 out of 10
Key factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- P/E of 38.2 versus sector average of 35.8
- Trading above the 200-day average of 289.76
Long term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence3/103 out of 10
Key factors
- P/E of 38.2 versus sector average of 35.8
- Profit margin of 27.6% is healthy
- Revenue growth of +16.4%
Key metrics
Financial health
Revenue Growth16.40%
Profit Margin27.62%
P/E Ratio38.2
ROE148.75%
ROA27.08%
Debt/Equity78.44
P/B Ratio45.3
Op. Cash Flow$146.7B
Free Cash Flow$107.7B
Industry P/E35.8
Technical analysis
TrendBullish
RSI54.6
Support$309.90
Resistance$345.34
MA 20$333.41
MA 50$322.35
MA 200$289.76
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index94.63
Valuation
Fair Value$168.72
Target Price$328.09
Upside/Downside-1.66%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.32%
Risk assessment
Beta0.68
Volatility21.06%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.