9987:TSESuzuken Co., Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-26 - not real-time
HK$343.00
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Yum China (9987) is trading at HK$343, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of HK$367 but near the identified support of HK$338, suggesting a potential bounce if buying pressure materializes. The RSI of 28 places the stock in oversold territory, while the MACD remains bearish with the line below the signal, indicating short‑term downside momentum may be waning. A recent US$512 million share‑repurchase agreement as part of a US$1.5 billion capital return plan adds a catalyst that could bolster demand and support price near the support level. Volatility is elevated at roughly 25% over the past 30 days, yet the beta of just 0.10 signals that price swings are largely insulated from broader market moves, aligning with the “Extreme Greed” sentiment reflected in the fear‑greed index.
Fundamentally, the company delivers a solid earnings profile with a trailing PE of 17.5, forward PE of 13.7, and a forward EPS outlook that outpaces current earnings. Revenue growth of 9.7% and operating margins above 13% underscore resilient profitability, while a dividend yield of 2.6% and a modest payout ratio of 38% indicate sustainable shareholder returns. Analysts project a median target of HK$470, implying upside potential of around 39%, and the consensus “strong buy” recommendation further reinforces a favorable valuation outlook.
Fundamentally, the company delivers a solid earnings profile with a trailing PE of 17.5, forward PE of 13.7, and a forward EPS outlook that outpaces current earnings. Revenue growth of 9.7% and operating margins above 13% underscore resilient profitability, while a dividend yield of 2.6% and a modest payout ratio of 38% indicate sustainable shareholder returns. Analysts project a median target of HK$470, implying upside potential of around 39%, and the consensus “strong buy” recommendation further reinforces a favorable valuation outlook.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Oversold RSI indicating near‑term price floor
- Proximity to technical support at HK$338
- Share repurchase program providing immediate demand
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Revenue growth and expanding operating margins
- Dividend yield with low payout ratio supporting cash flow
- Analyst target price upside of ~39%
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Strong franchise portfolio and brand presence in China
- Sustainable dividend and capital return strategy
- Resilient cash generation despite moderate regulatory headwinds
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth9.70%
Profit Margin7.83%
P/E Ratio17.5
ROE16.29%
ROA7.84%
Debt/Equity38.01
P/B Ratio2.8
Op. Cash FlowHK$1.6B
Free Cash FlowHK$788.4M
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI28.3
SupportHK$338.40
ResistanceHK$392.00
MA 20HK$367.44
MA 50HK$385.15
MA 200HK$372.98
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index90.93
Valuation
Fair ValueHK$41.55
Target PriceHK$477.80
Upside/Downside39.30%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.60%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.10
Volatility25.19%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.