9984:TSESoftBank Group Corp. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-18 - not real-time
¥7,235.00
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
SoftBank Group has surged to the top of Japan’s market cap rankings, driven by its aggressive AI and semiconductor bets and a new AI‑cybersecurity partnership.
The stock trades at a price multiple well below the sector average, suggesting a value tilt, yet its balance sheet carries substantial debt and negative cash flow, which tempers the upside. Momentum indicators point to a bullish price direction, but the MACD shows bearish divergence and volume is slipping, highlighting short‑term uncertainty. Investors should weigh the strong growth narrative against the heightened volatility and balance‑sheet risk before positioning.
The stock trades at a price multiple well below the sector average, suggesting a value tilt, yet its balance sheet carries substantial debt and negative cash flow, which tempers the upside. Momentum indicators point to a bullish price direction, but the MACD shows bearish divergence and volume is slipping, highlighting short‑term uncertainty. Investors should weigh the strong growth narrative against the heightened volatility and balance‑sheet risk before positioning.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bullish price trend but bearish MACD signal
- Decreasing trading volume
- Elevated volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- AI and semiconductor exposure positioning SoftBank for growth
- Undervalued earnings multiple relative to peers
- Improving market sentiment as reflected by extreme greed index
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Strategic investments in high‑growth technology sectors
- Potential for balance‑sheet deleveraging over time
- Sustained leadership in Japan’s corporate hierarchy
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth7.10%
Profit Margin64.14%
P/E Ratio8.3
ROE32.72%
ROA0.01%
Debt/Equity125.38
P/B Ratio2.4
Op. Cash Flow¥-428831997952
Free Cash Flow¥-1433729105920
Industry P/E16.6
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI55.6
Support¥5,977.00
Resistance¥9,074.00
MA 20¥7,276.70
MA 50¥5,974.90
MA 200¥4,861.35
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.5
Valuation
Target Price¥7,163.21
Upside/Downside-0.99%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta2.38
Volatility110.62%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.