9983:TSEFAST RETAILING CO., LTD. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time
¥64,140.00
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Fast Retailing trades at ¥64,140, sitting below its 20‑day SMA (¥66,795) but above the 50‑day SMA (¥62,738), indicating short‑term weakness within an overall bullish trend. RSI at 47 and a bearish MACD histogram (‑696) suggest momentum is softening, while volume is decreasing, and the stock sits near its technical support of ¥61,750 with resistance at ¥69,950.
Fundamentally, the company delivers 14.8% revenue growth, 20% operating margin and 20% ROE, with ample cash (¥1.98 trn) versus debt (¥690 bn) and a sustainable dividend payout of 35% (0.85% yield). However, a DCF fair value of ~¥45,700 and high valuation multiples (PE 45×, PB 7.9×) point to an overvalued price, leaving only ~2% upside versus the median target of ¥65,500. The “Extreme Greed” sentiment and low beta (0.28) temper risk.
Fundamentally, the company delivers 14.8% revenue growth, 20% operating margin and 20% ROE, with ample cash (¥1.98 trn) versus debt (¥690 bn) and a sustainable dividend payout of 35% (0.85% yield). However, a DCF fair value of ~¥45,700 and high valuation multiples (PE 45×, PB 7.9×) point to an overvalued price, leaving only ~2% upside versus the median target of ¥65,500. The “Extreme Greed” sentiment and low beta (0.28) temper risk.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near technical support with decreasing volume
- Bearish MACD histogram indicating weakening momentum
- Neutral RSI suggesting no immediate overbought/oversold condition
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Strong revenue growth (14.8%) and high operating margin
- Robust cash generation and low leverage
- Target median price (~¥65,500) offers modest upside
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Sustainable dividend yield with a comfortable payout ratio
- Consistently high ROE and brand strength in global apparel market
- Valuation compression risk due to high PE/PB multiples
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth14.80%
Profit Margin12.69%
P/E Ratio45.5
ROE20.03%
ROA9.39%
Debt/Equity26.88
P/B Ratio7.9
Op. Cash Flow¥684.7B
Free Cash Flow¥496.0B
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI47.3
Support¥61,750.00
Resistance¥69,950.00
MA 20¥66,795.00
MA 50¥62,738.00
MA 200¥53,141.35
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index75.89
Valuation
Fair Value¥45,713.58
Target Price¥65,560.21
Upside/Downside2.21%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.85%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.45
Volatility33.60%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.