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9983:TSEFAST RETAILING CO., LTD. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-13 - not real-time

¥80,530.00

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Fast Retailing continues to post strong top‑line growth and robust profitability, with double‑digit revenue expansion and gross margins comfortably above half of sales. The company’s operating efficiency translates into a solid return on equity and ample cash generation, supporting a sustainable dividend that pays out well below half of earnings.
On the valuation side the stock trades at a premium that exceeds intrinsic estimates, with price sitting near the top of its recent range and technical indicators showing mixed signals: a bullish trend and RSI in the low‑60s are offset by a bearish MACD histogram and proximity to a key resistance level. Elevated short‑term volatility combined with a low beta suggests limited market‑wide risk but heightened price sensitivity to technical pull‑backs, while the dividend yield remains modest.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near resistance with bearish MACD momentum
  • High valuation multiples relative to DCF estimate
  • Low beta but elevated short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained revenue growth and strong profit margins
  • Robust cash flow supporting dividend and potential reinvestment
  • Fundamentals outweigh valuation premium over the next 12‑18 months

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Durable brand positioning and global expansion opportunities
  • Consistently high ROE and solid balance‑sheet strength
  • Dividend sustainability with room for incremental payouts

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth14.80%
Profit Margin13.06%
P/E Ratio51.8
ROE20.62%
ROA10.03%
Debt/Equity25.41
P/B Ratio9.4
Op. Cash Flow¥781.4B
Free Cash Flow¥474.8B

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI62.7
Support¥69,330.00
Resistance¥82,900.00
MA 20¥77,386.00
MA 50¥73,572.80
MA 200¥60,830.75
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Valuation

Fair Value¥42,917.74
Target Price¥75,520.00
Upside/Downside-6.22%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.79%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.13
Volatility33.53%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.