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9697:TSECapcom Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time

¥3,545.00

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Capcom trades at a trailing P/E of 24.45, well above the electronic gaming industry average of 17.77, while the DCF‑derived fair value of roughly ¥931 is less than a third of the current market price of ¥3,545, indicating a significant premium. The stock’s beta of 0.43 suggests limited sensitivity to market swings, yet its 30‑day volatility of 63.6% points to sizable price swings in the short run. Technicals show a bullish MACD histogram (+25.1) and a neutral RSI around 56, with price sitting above the 20‑day SMA (¥3,340) and 50‑day SMA (¥3,472) but still below the 200‑day SMA (¥3,967), reflecting mixed momentum. Volume trends are increasing, supporting the recent price rise, while support at ¥3,054 and resistance at ¥3,682 frame the near‑term trading range. The company boasts a strong operating margin of 43.8%, zero net debt and a cash pile exceeding ¥111 billion, providing a solid balance sheet. Dividend sustainability looks robust with a 1.13% yield, a payout ratio under 30%, and ample free cash flow. Overall, Capcom offers a stable dividend and solid cash generation but appears overvalued relative to peers and growth prospects remain flat, suggesting caution for price‑appreciation seekers.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD with positive histogram
  • Increasing volume supporting recent rally
  • Price still below 200‑day SMA indicating longer‑term weakness

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • High P/E relative to industry peers
  • Strong cash generation and zero debt
  • Sustainable dividend yield with modest payout ratio

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Stable operating margins and cash reserves
  • Flat revenue growth limiting upside
  • Low beta and defensive dividend profile

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

P/E Ratio24.4
P/B Ratio5.9
Op. Cash Flow¥41.9B
Free Cash Flow¥20.4B
Industry P/E17.8

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI56.0
Support¥3,054.00
Resistance¥3,682.00
MA 20¥3,339.95
MA 50¥3,472.50
MA 200¥3,966.84
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Fair Value¥930.79
Target Price¥4,451.88
Upside/Downside25.58%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield1.13%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.43
Volatility63.63%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.