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9633:HKEXNongfu Spring Co., Ltd. Class H Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-15 - not real-time

SAR 26.80

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Service Equipment Co. (9633) is trading below its short‑term and long‑term moving averages, with the price sitting under the 20‑day, 50‑day and 200‑day SMAs, signaling a bearish technical backdrop. The RSI is near neutral and the MACD shows a bullish crossover, offering a modest technical upside, while volume has been on a downtrend, underscoring limited buying pressure.
Fundamentally, the stock appears undervalued: its P/E is well below the industry average and the DCF‑derived fair value exceeds the current market price. The company generates solid cash flow, maintains a low debt load, and delivers an exceptionally high dividend yield with a comfortable payout ratio, suggesting dividend sustainability. However, revenue has contracted sharply and volatility is elevated, reflecting heightened risk. The combination of attractive valuation and dividend income makes the stock a potential value play, but investors should remain cautious of the bearish momentum and liquidity constraints.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • price remains below key moving averages
  • high dividend yield provides downside cushion
  • decreasing volume and bearish trend

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • valuation gap between market price and DCF fair value
  • strong cash generation and low leverage
  • sustainable dividend supporting total return

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • persistent undervaluation relative to peers
  • stable dividend income over time
  • potential recovery in automotive service demand

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-23.30%
Profit Margin11.88%
P/E Ratio10.7
ROE13.93%
ROA7.34%
Debt/Equity3.14
P/B Ratio1.5
Op. Cash FlowSAR6.8M
Free Cash FlowSAR4.3M
Industry P/E29.7

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI54.0
SupportSAR 23.10
ResistanceSAR 27.50
MA 20SAR 25.53
MA 50SAR 26.94
MA 200SAR 38.36
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index87.96

Valuation

Fair ValueSAR 28.09
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield11.19%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.72
Volatility54.01%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.