9504:TSEChugoku Electric Power Co., Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-15 - not real-time
¥969.70
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Valuation appears deeply attractive – the stock trades at a trailing P/E of ~3x versus an industry average of ~23x and a P/B of 0.46, suggesting it is undervalued. Dividend yield sits at 2.78% with a modest payout ratio of ~10%, providing a steady income stream.
Technically, the price (≈970) is above the 200‑day SMA (≈892) and the 30‑day volatility is high at ~42%, but the 20‑day and 50‑day SMAs (≈1029 and 1011) sit above the current level, RSI is neutral at 43 and the MACD is bearish, indicating short‑term pressure. Nonetheless, the stock is near a solid support around 914 and the upside potential to the median analyst target (~1020) is roughly 5%, while market sentiment is in “Greed” territory (Fear‑Greed Index 72.9). The balance of low beta (0.27) and stable volume suggests limited price swings, but the massive debt‑to‑equity ratio (~436) and zero operating cash flow raise a caution flag for long‑run financial resilience.
Technically, the price (≈970) is above the 200‑day SMA (≈892) and the 30‑day volatility is high at ~42%, but the 20‑day and 50‑day SMAs (≈1029 and 1011) sit above the current level, RSI is neutral at 43 and the MACD is bearish, indicating short‑term pressure. Nonetheless, the stock is near a solid support around 914 and the upside potential to the median analyst target (~1020) is roughly 5%, while market sentiment is in “Greed” territory (Fear‑Greed Index 72.9). The balance of low beta (0.27) and stable volume suggests limited price swings, but the massive debt‑to‑equity ratio (~436) and zero operating cash flow raise a caution flag for long‑run financial resilience.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near support at 914 with limited upside (~5%)
- Undervalued multiples but bearish MACD and short‑term SMA positioning
- High leverage raises near‑term financial caution
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Attractive valuation and dividend yield supporting price stability
- Potential for price to approach analyst median target (~1020)
- Debt load remains a concern but sector stability offers cushion
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Deep valuation discount relative to peers
- Consistent dividend with low payout ratio
- Utilities sector’s defensive nature and low beta offset high leverage risk
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-7.00%
Profit Margin6.04%
P/E Ratio3.1
ROE12.57%
ROA1.96%
Debt/Equity435.78
P/B Ratio0.5
Industry P/E23.3
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI43.1
Support¥914.10
Resistance¥1,145.00
MA 20¥1,029.12
MA 50¥1,010.53
MA 200¥892.10
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index72.88
Valuation
Target Price¥1,017.50
Upside/Downside4.93%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield2.78%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.27
Volatility41.95%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.