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9501:TSETokyo Electric Power Company Holdings, Incorporated Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time

₩4,955.00

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

JTC Inc. is trading at 4,955 KRW, which sits just above the 20‑day SMA (4,851 KRW) but remains well below the 200‑day SMA (5,172 KRW), indicating short‑term momentum but a longer‑term downtrend. The MACD histogram is negative and the signal line is bearish, while RSI is neutral at 55, suggesting limited upside momentum. Price is hugging the near‑term resistance at 5,040 KRW and is supported by a technical floor around 4,550 KRW, leaving a narrow trading range. Volatility is elevated at roughly 67 % over the past 30 days, and trading volume has been decreasing, raising concerns about price stability. Fundamentally, revenue has plunged 41.5 % year‑over‑year, operating margins are negative (‑8.2 %), and the company carries a hefty debt load (≈129 B KRW) with a debt‑to‑equity ratio of 75.5 %. The discounted cash‑flow model values the stock at about 3,125 KRW, far below the current market price, reinforcing an overvaluation view despite a modest price‑to‑sales multiple of 0.8.
The sector—consumer cyclical department stores—faces headwinds from shifting consumer habits and macro‑economic uncertainty in Japan and South Korea, adding sector‑specific risk. The balance sheet’s high leverage and weak profitability limit the company’s ability to generate sustainable cash flow, and there is no dividend to offset valuation concerns. Market sentiment is extremely greedy (Fear‑Greed Index 89.9), which may be pricing in optimistic expectations that are not supported by the fundamentals. Investors should therefore treat the stock as overvalued and exercise caution, especially given the high short‑term volatility and bearish technical signals.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD and negative histogram
  • Price near resistance with limited upside
  • High 30‑day volatility and declining volume

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Significant revenue decline and negative operating margin
  • Heavy debt burden limiting financial flexibility
  • DCF valuation gap suggesting price correction may be needed

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Potential for turnaround if cost structure improves
  • Exposure to cyclical consumer spending in Japan and South Korea
  • Continued overvaluation relative to intrinsic value

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-41.50%
Profit Margin1.61%
ROE2.73%
ROA3.08%
Debt/Equity75.54
Op. Cash Flow₩25.4B
Free Cash Flow₩16.0B

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI55.6
Support₩4,550.00
Resistance₩5,040.00
MA 20₩4,850.75
MA 50₩4,716.40
MA 200₩5,172.15
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Valuation

Fair Value₩3,124.81
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue

Risk Assessment

Beta0.36
Volatility66.89%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.