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9449:TSEGMO Internet Group, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-22 - not real-time

¥3,396.00

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

GMO Internet Group is trading at ¥3,396, just below the calculated resistance of ¥3,431, with a 20‑day SMA of ¥3,187 and a 50‑day SMA of ¥3,045, indicating a neutral trend that could break higher. The MACD is bullish (line ¥67 above signal ¥45) and the RSI sits at 64, suggesting momentum remains positive without being overbought. Beta is low at 0.48 while 30‑day volatility is elevated at ~39%, implying price swings but limited systematic risk.
Fundamentally, the company posted 14% revenue growth and a solid gross margin of 60%, yet its forward P/E of 22.2 and price‑to‑book of 3.06 are above the industry averages, flagging a modest overvaluation. The dividend yield of 2.56% with a 32% payout ratio appears sustainable, and the balance sheet shows massive cash reserves offsetting a high debt load. Analysts project a median target of ¥4,300, translating to an upside of roughly 23% from current levels, supporting a buy stance.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD and RSI in the mid‑60s
  • Price near support‑to‑resistance corridor with upside potential
  • Stable volume indicating liquidity

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • 14% revenue growth and strong operating margins
  • Attractive dividend yield with a modest payout ratio
  • Cash‑rich balance sheet despite high debt

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Diversified internet services and emerging crypto/AI businesses
  • Potential head‑room from projected price target of ¥4,300
  • Debt‑to‑equity remains elevated, posing balance‑sheet risk

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth14.10%
Profit Margin5.95%
P/E Ratio20.9
ROE18.33%
ROA2.00%
Debt/Equity248.64
P/B Ratio3.1
Industry P/E17.0

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI64.3
Support¥3,012.00
Resistance¥3,431.00
MA 20¥3,187.40
MA 50¥3,044.53
MA 200¥3,523.83
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index91.68

Valuation

Target Price¥4,182.00
Upside/Downside23.14%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.56%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.55
Volatility38.92%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.