9449:TSEGMO Internet Group, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-22 - not real-time
¥3,396.00
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
GMO Internet Group is trading at ¥3,396, just below the calculated resistance of ¥3,431, with a 20‑day SMA of ¥3,187 and a 50‑day SMA of ¥3,045, indicating a neutral trend that could break higher. The MACD is bullish (line ¥67 above signal ¥45) and the RSI sits at 64, suggesting momentum remains positive without being overbought. Beta is low at 0.48 while 30‑day volatility is elevated at ~39%, implying price swings but limited systematic risk.
Fundamentally, the company posted 14% revenue growth and a solid gross margin of 60%, yet its forward P/E of 22.2 and price‑to‑book of 3.06 are above the industry averages, flagging a modest overvaluation. The dividend yield of 2.56% with a 32% payout ratio appears sustainable, and the balance sheet shows massive cash reserves offsetting a high debt load. Analysts project a median target of ¥4,300, translating to an upside of roughly 23% from current levels, supporting a buy stance.
Fundamentally, the company posted 14% revenue growth and a solid gross margin of 60%, yet its forward P/E of 22.2 and price‑to‑book of 3.06 are above the industry averages, flagging a modest overvaluation. The dividend yield of 2.56% with a 32% payout ratio appears sustainable, and the balance sheet shows massive cash reserves offsetting a high debt load. Analysts project a median target of ¥4,300, translating to an upside of roughly 23% from current levels, supporting a buy stance.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bullish MACD and RSI in the mid‑60s
- Price near support‑to‑resistance corridor with upside potential
- Stable volume indicating liquidity
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- 14% revenue growth and strong operating margins
- Attractive dividend yield with a modest payout ratio
- Cash‑rich balance sheet despite high debt
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Diversified internet services and emerging crypto/AI businesses
- Potential head‑room from projected price target of ¥4,300
- Debt‑to‑equity remains elevated, posing balance‑sheet risk
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth14.10%
Profit Margin5.95%
P/E Ratio20.9
ROE18.33%
ROA2.00%
Debt/Equity248.64
P/B Ratio3.1
Industry P/E17.0
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI64.3
Support¥3,012.00
Resistance¥3,431.00
MA 20¥3,187.40
MA 50¥3,044.53
MA 200¥3,523.83
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index91.68
Valuation
Target Price¥4,182.00
Upside/Downside23.14%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.56%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.55
Volatility38.92%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.