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9435:TSEHikari Tsushin, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-12 - not real-time

¥36,300.00

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Technical outlook: The stock is trading below its short‑term and medium‑term moving averages, signaling a bearish price bias, while the RSI sits near the midpoint, suggesting limited downside momentum. The MACD has turned bullish with a positive histogram and volume is on an upward trend, hinting at a possible short‑term rebound. Fundamental backdrop: Recent earnings release shows a strong jump in net profit year‑over‑year, reinforcing earnings momentum. The price‑to‑earnings multiple is well below the industry average, and the dividend yield of over 2% is supported by a modest payout ratio. Balance sheet: Despite high leverage, the company generates solid operating cash flow and maintains ample cash reserves, which underpins dividend sustainability.
Looking ahead, the valuation gap suggests upside potential, while the low beta and defensive dividend profile point to a stable risk‑adjusted return. Investors should weigh the bearish technical bias against the attractive valuation and dividend characteristics when forming a position.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish price positioning relative to moving averages
  • Bullish MACD crossover with rising volume
  • Mid‑range RSI indicating limited near‑term momentum

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Undervalued P/E versus industry peers
  • Strong earnings growth and profit expansion
  • Attractive dividend yield with low payout

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Low beta suggesting defensive market behavior
  • Sustainable dividend supported by cash flow
  • Significant upside potential from valuation gap

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth2.40%
Profit Margin20.55%
P/E Ratio10.6
ROE14.46%
ROA2.79%
Debt/Equity89.39
P/B Ratio1.3
Op. Cash Flow¥57.1B
Free Cash Flow¥-49204375552
Industry P/E30.4

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI45.3
Support¥33,190.00
Resistance¥38,830.00
MA 20¥36,614.00
MA 50¥38,311.00
MA 200¥41,277.40
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index86.71

Valuation

Fair Value¥679.22
Target Price¥44,460.00
Upside/Downside22.48%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield2.15%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.22
Volatility36.36%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.