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9435:TSEHikari Tsushin, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-12 - not real-time

¥42,510.00

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Hikari Tsushin is trading just below its short‑term moving average while maintaining a position above its long‑term trend, suggesting a modest upside potential. The MACD histogram is positive and the signal line is bullish, providing a gentle upward thrust despite a neutral overall trend and a slightly under‑bought RSI. Volatility remains elevated and trading volume is on a downtrend, which could amplify short‑term price swings.
Fundamentally, the stock trades at a price‑earnings multiple far below the sector average and offers a modest dividend yield with a low payout ratio, indicating attractive valuation and cash return potential. However, a high leverage profile and zero free cash flow raise concerns about the long‑term sustainability of dividend payments and financial flexibility.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • price near immediate support level
  • bullish MACD signal
  • elevated volatility with decreasing volume

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • valuation discount to industry peers
  • steady revenue growth and solid margins
  • attractive dividend yield with low payout

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • diversified business segments providing resilience
  • low beta indicating limited market sensitivity
  • potential for balance‑sheet improvement as cash generation stabilizes

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth4.50%
Profit Margin17.45%
P/E Ratio13.4
ROE12.52%
ROA2.67%
Debt/Equity88.53
P/B Ratio1.6
Op. Cash Flow¥65.9B
Industry P/E30.0

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI47.3
Support¥40,700.00
Resistance¥45,070.00
MA 20¥42,593.50
MA 50¥43,402.80
MA 200¥41,924.50
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index78.16

Valuation

Fair Value¥3,053.23
Target Price¥44,460.00
Upside/Downside4.59%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.76%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.29
Volatility27.28%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.