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9433:TSEKDDI Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-18 - not real-time

¥2,715.50

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

KDDI trades above its 20‑day, 50‑day and 200‑day moving averages, indicating a prevailing bullish trend. The RSI sits near the midpoint, suggesting no overbought pressure, while the MACD histogram has turned negative, giving a short‑term bearish tilt. Volume has been tapering, which could limit upside momentum.
Fundamentally, the company offers a dividend yield above 3% with a payout ratio under 50%, supported by strong operating and free cash flow. Its trailing P/E is comfortably below the telecom industry average, and the DCF‑derived fair value is only a few percent higher than the current price, implying a fairly valued stock. Revenue growth of roughly 9% and a solid gross margin reinforce the earnings outlook, despite a high debt‑to‑equity ratio that is mitigated by ample cash reserves.
The stock’s beta is near zero, meaning price moves are largely independent of broader market swings, but 30‑day volatility exceeds 25%, indicating price swings can be sizable. Overall, the blend of stable cash generation, attractive yield and modest valuation upside supports a positive outlook, while the short‑term technical weakness and declining volume suggest caution.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD signal line
  • Decreasing trading volume
  • Price near recent support level

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Dividend yield above 3% with sustainable payout
  • P/E below industry average
  • Revenue growth driven by 5G and AI initiatives

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Strong operating and free cash flow
  • Strategic positioning in 5G, IoT and cloud services
  • Fair valuation relative to DCF estimate

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth8.80%
Profit Margin11.65%
P/E Ratio14.8
ROE14.01%
ROA3.70%
Debt/Equity96.16
P/B Ratio2.0
Op. Cash Flow¥1788.9B
Free Cash Flow¥1317.0B
Industry P/E16.6

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI52.6
Support¥2,616.50
Resistance¥2,809.00
MA 20¥2,702.45
MA 50¥2,656.49
MA 200¥2,616.52
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.82

Valuation

Fair Value¥5,552.18
Target Price¥2,802.93
Upside/Downside3.22%
GradeFair
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.09%

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.07
Volatility26.70%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.