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9432:TSENTT Inc Analysis

Data as of 2026-07-11 - not real-time

¥147.60

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

NTT's share price is currently trading just above the 20‑day simple moving average while remaining under the 50‑day average, indicating short‑term pressure. The stock respects a clear support level near the low‑40‑week range, and technicals label the broader trend as bearish. However, the MACD histogram has turned positive and the signal line is bullish, suggesting momentum may be shifting. The RSI sits around the neutral zone, so the price is not yet overbought. Valuation metrics show a price‑to‑earnings ratio comfortably below the telecom industry average, and the price‑to‑book is modest. The dividend yield is among the highest in the sector, with a payout ratio well under half of earnings, supporting sustainability. Free cash flow remains robust and cash balances exceed debt, mitigating concerns from the elevated debt‑to‑equity ratio. A discounted cash flow model places fair value noticeably above the current price, implying upside potential.
Combined with the extreme‑greed market sentiment, the stock appears attractively priced for value‑oriented investors. The low and slightly negative beta points to limited correlation with broader market swings, reducing systematic risk. Regulatory and sector dynamics are stable, though modest exposure to policy changes warrants monitoring. Given the blend of solid fundamentals, attractive yield, and technical signs of a possible rebound, a cautious buying stance is warranted. Investors should keep an eye on debt servicing and any shifts in telecom regulation.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price near support with bullish MACD histogram
  • Neutral RSI indicating room for upside
  • Attractive dividend yield

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • DCF‑derived upside potential
  • Strong free cash flow and cash balance
  • Valuation discount to industry peers

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • High debt‑to‑equity requires monitoring
  • Modest revenue growth in a mature sector
  • Stable regulatory environment with consistent dividend

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth9.10%
Profit Margin7.20%
P/E Ratio11.7
ROE10.04%
ROA2.78%
Debt/Equity165.59
P/B Ratio1.2
Op. Cash Flow¥1485.2B
Free Cash Flow¥10287.2B
Industry P/E16.2

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI51.3
Support¥142.60
Resistance¥150.60
MA 20¥146.01
MA 50¥148.52
MA 200¥153.68
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index94.59

Valuation

Fair Value¥2,242.78
Target Price¥169.21
Upside/Downside14.64%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.66%

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.08
Volatility16.44%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.