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9364:TSEKamigumi Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-27 - not real-time

¥4,732.00

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Kamigumi Co., Ltd. is trading at ¥4,732, just above its recent support of ¥4,681 and well below the 52‑week high of ¥5,818. The RSI of 26 indicates the stock is oversold, while the MACD histogram remains negative, suggesting short‑term bearish momentum but a potential bounce off support as volume has been increasing.
Fundamentally, the company delivers a solid dividend yield of 4.44% with a payout ratio of 66%, supported by positive operating and free cash flow. Its trailing P/E of 15.2 is far below the industry average of 30.1, yet the DCF‑derived fair value of ¥3,086 implies the current price is significantly overvalued. The balance sheet shows high leverage (debt‑to‑equity 17.7) but ample cash reserves, and revenue is growing modestly at 4.5% annually. Overall, the stock presents an attractive dividend and low relative valuation on a P/E basis, but the discrepancy with intrinsic value and elevated leverage temper enthusiasm.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • RSI indicating oversold conditions
  • Price hovering just above recent support
  • Increasing trading volume

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Attractive dividend yield with sustainable payout
  • P/E well below industry average
  • Overvaluation relative to DCF fair value

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Stable cash flow generation
  • High leverage requiring monitoring
  • Long‑term dividend income potential

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth4.50%
Profit Margin10.61%
P/E Ratio15.2
ROE8.02%
ROA4.44%
Debt/Equity17.74
P/B Ratio1.2
Op. Cash Flow¥35.7B
Free Cash Flow¥17.8B
Industry P/E30.1

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI26.2
Support¥4,681.00
Resistance¥5,330.00
MA 20¥5,074.00
MA 50¥5,313.20
MA 200¥5,018.05
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.05

Valuation

Fair Value¥3,086.25
Target Price¥5,676.67
Upside/Downside19.96%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield4.44%

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.02
Volatility20.12%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.