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9202:TSEANA Holdings Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-13 - not real-time

¥2,839.00

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

ANA Holdings trades at a PE ratio of 8.8, far below the airline industry average of 30.6, and offers a 2.11% dividend yield with a modest 20% payout ratio. The company posted robust revenue growth of 18.4% and maintains a strong cash position that exceeds its total debt, providing a solid buffer for operations. However, the DCF fair‑value estimate of ¥1,286 is less than half the current market price of ¥2,839, suggesting the stock may be priced for optimism. Technicals show the price sitting below the 200‑day SMA (¥2,950) and a bearish MACD divergence, while the RSI hovers around the neutral 51 level. Volume trends are decreasing and the 30‑day volatility is elevated at roughly 30%, indicating heightened short‑term price swings. Overall, the fundamentals point to value and dividend sustainability, but market sentiment appears overly bullish, creating a potential overvaluation risk.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD histogram indicating downward momentum
  • Price below 200‑day SMA suggesting long‑term weakness
  • Decreasing trading volume adding to short‑term uncertainty

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strong 18% revenue growth supporting earnings expansion
  • Low PE relative to industry offering attractive valuation
  • Sustainable dividend with low payout ratio

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Net cash position (cash exceeds debt) providing financial resilience
  • Long‑term recovery prospects for air travel boosting cash flows
  • Consistent dividend policy reinforcing shareholder returns

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth18.40%
Profit Margin6.66%
P/E Ratio8.8
ROE12.94%
ROA3.59%
Debt/Equity77.98
P/B Ratio0.9
Op. Cash Flow¥443.5B
Free Cash Flow¥17.1B
Industry P/E30.6

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI51.2
Support¥2,700.00
Resistance¥3,022.00
MA 20¥2,827.98
MA 50¥2,823.14
MA 200¥2,949.48
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Valuation

Fair Value¥1,286.42
Target Price¥3,252.50
Upside/Downside14.56%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.11%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.38
Volatility29.48%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.