9143:TSESG Holdings Co., Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-17 - not real-time
¥1,459.00
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Technical outlook: The stock trades at ¥1,459, just above the 20‑day SMA (¥1,453.5) but remains under the 50‑day (¥1,475) and 200‑day (¥1,503) averages, indicating short‑term weakness within a broader bearish trend. RSI sits at 49.7, signaling a neutral momentum, while the MACD histogram is positive (≈5.5) and the signal line is bullish, suggesting a potential near‑term rebound. Support sits around ¥1,391 and resistance near ¥1,521.5, with market sentiment in the “Extreme Greed” zone (92.27 on the Fear‑Greed Index).
Fundamental outlook: Revenue is growing at 15% YoY, yet margins are thin (gross 11.5%). The PE ratio of 14.9 is well below the industry average of 31.2, and the DCF‑derived fair value points to roughly a 16% upside. Debt‑to‑equity is high at 71.9% but cash covers about a quarter of total debt, and ROE stands at a respectable 10.5%. No dividend is paid, so total return relies on price appreciation.
Fundamental outlook: Revenue is growing at 15% YoY, yet margins are thin (gross 11.5%). The PE ratio of 14.9 is well below the industry average of 31.2, and the DCF‑derived fair value points to roughly a 16% upside. Debt‑to‑equity is high at 71.9% but cash covers about a quarter of total debt, and ROE stands at a respectable 10.5%. No dividend is paid, so total return relies on price appreciation.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price hovering just above 20‑day SMA with bearish longer‑term averages
- Bullish MACD histogram indicating possible short‑term bounce
- Support level at ¥1,391 offering downside cushion
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Undervalued PE relative to industry peers
- Projected ~16% upside to DCF fair value
- Solid revenue growth of 15% YoY and analyst consensus buy
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Stable cash flow generation and moderate ROE
- Diversified logistics and real‑estate businesses providing resilience
- Long‑term valuation upside despite elevated debt levels
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth15.10%
Profit Margin3.59%
P/E Ratio14.9
ROE10.51%
ROA4.97%
Debt/Equity71.89
P/B Ratio1.6
Op. Cash Flow¥124.8B
Free Cash Flow¥17.9B
Industry P/E31.2
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI49.7
Support¥1,391.00
Resistance¥1,521.50
MA 20¥1,453.50
MA 50¥1,475.08
MA 200¥1,503.58
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index92.27
Valuation
Fair Value¥244.37
Target Price¥1,695.00
Upside/Downside16.18%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.03
Volatility29.49%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.