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9143:TSESG Holdings Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-17 - not real-time

¥1,459.00

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Technical outlook: The stock trades at ¥1,459, just above the 20‑day SMA (¥1,453.5) but remains under the 50‑day (¥1,475) and 200‑day (¥1,503) averages, indicating short‑term weakness within a broader bearish trend. RSI sits at 49.7, signaling a neutral momentum, while the MACD histogram is positive (≈5.5) and the signal line is bullish, suggesting a potential near‑term rebound. Support sits around ¥1,391 and resistance near ¥1,521.5, with market sentiment in the “Extreme Greed” zone (92.27 on the Fear‑Greed Index).
Fundamental outlook: Revenue is growing at 15% YoY, yet margins are thin (gross 11.5%). The PE ratio of 14.9 is well below the industry average of 31.2, and the DCF‑derived fair value points to roughly a 16% upside. Debt‑to‑equity is high at 71.9% but cash covers about a quarter of total debt, and ROE stands at a respectable 10.5%. No dividend is paid, so total return relies on price appreciation.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price hovering just above 20‑day SMA with bearish longer‑term averages
  • Bullish MACD histogram indicating possible short‑term bounce
  • Support level at ¥1,391 offering downside cushion

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Undervalued PE relative to industry peers
  • Projected ~16% upside to DCF fair value
  • Solid revenue growth of 15% YoY and analyst consensus buy

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Stable cash flow generation and moderate ROE
  • Diversified logistics and real‑estate businesses providing resilience
  • Long‑term valuation upside despite elevated debt levels

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth15.10%
Profit Margin3.59%
P/E Ratio14.9
ROE10.51%
ROA4.97%
Debt/Equity71.89
P/B Ratio1.6
Op. Cash Flow¥124.8B
Free Cash Flow¥17.9B
Industry P/E31.2

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI49.7
Support¥1,391.00
Resistance¥1,521.50
MA 20¥1,453.50
MA 50¥1,475.08
MA 200¥1,503.58
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index92.27

Valuation

Fair Value¥244.37
Target Price¥1,695.00
Upside/Downside16.18%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.03
Volatility29.49%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.