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9064:TSEYamato Holdings Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-15 - not real-time

¥1,747.00

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Yamato Holdings is trading below its 20‑day moving average and near a key support level, with a low RSI indicating oversold conditions. Technical indicators such as a bearish MACD histogram and a downward trend reinforce short‑term downside pressure, while the low beta (≈0.22) suggests limited price swing relative to the market.
Fundamentally, the stock trades at a price‑to‑earnings multiple well under the industry average and offers a 2.6% dividend yield with a comfortable payout ratio, pointing to value characteristics. However, the DCF‑derived fair value is markedly lower than the current price, implying that the market may be overvaluing the share at present.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • RSI in oversold territory
  • Price near support level
  • Bearish MACD signals

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • PE well below industry average
  • Attractive dividend yield
  • Stable cash flow and low leverage

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Consistent dividend policy
  • Low beta and defensive profile
  • Exposure to Japan’s logistics demand

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth5.50%
Profit Margin1.84%
P/E Ratio16.3
ROE5.79%
ROA1.25%
Debt/Equity31.92
P/B Ratio0.9
Op. Cash Flow¥69.1B
Free Cash Flow¥7.3B
Industry P/E29.1

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI26.0
Support¥1,738.50
Resistance¥1,940.00
MA 20¥1,838.68
MA 50¥1,977.07
MA 200¥2,142.17
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Fair Value¥321.99
Target Price¥1,991.00
Upside/Downside13.97%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield2.63%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.30
Volatility30.93%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.