9048:TSENagoya Railroad Co., Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-18 - not real-time
¥1,785.50
Latest Price
3/10Risk
Risk Level: Low
Executive Summary
Nagoya Railroad Co. (9048.T) trades at a PE of 17.2, well below the industry average of 31.2, and a PB of 0.72, suggesting the stock is currently undervalued. The price sits near the identified support level of ¥1,780 and above the 200‑day SMA, indicating a bullish longer‑term bias, while the MACD shows a bearish crossover and the RSI at 42 points to neutral momentum. Dividend yield remains attractive at 3.29% with a moderate payout ratio of 38%, supported by positive operating cash flow despite negative free cash flow. However, the company carries high leverage (debt‑to‑equity over 130) and a modest revenue decline of 4%, which tempers enthusiasm.
Given the low beta (≈0.08) and stable volume, the stock presents limited market‑risk exposure, but sector‑specific regulatory and operational risks remain. Investors may view the current price as a buying opportunity for value‑oriented portfolios, while remaining cautious of the debt burden and limited growth prospects.
Given the low beta (≈0.08) and stable volume, the stock presents limited market‑risk exposure, but sector‑specific regulatory and operational risks remain. Investors may view the current price as a buying opportunity for value‑oriented portfolios, while remaining cautious of the debt burden and limited growth prospects.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near technical support at ¥1,780
- Bearish MACD crossover
- Stable trading volume
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Undervalued relative to industry PE and PB
- Attractive dividend yield with sustainable payout
- Bullish longer‑term trend above 200‑day SMA
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- High leverage (debt‑to‑equity >130)
- Flat to negative revenue growth
- Consistent dividend and low market volatility
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-4.00%
Profit Margin3.32%
P/E Ratio17.2
ROE3.71%
ROA1.49%
Debt/Equity132.58
P/B Ratio0.7
Op. Cash Flow¥61.4B
Free Cash Flow¥-112314875904
Industry P/E31.2
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI41.9
Support¥1,780.00
Resistance¥1,896.00
MA 20¥1,826.43
MA 50¥1,804.79
MA 200¥1,737.99
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index88.5
Valuation
Target Price¥1,850.00
Upside/Downside3.61%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.29%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.08
Volatility21.86%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.