9045:TSEKeihan Holdings Co.,Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-16 - not real-time
¥3,255.00
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Keihan Holdings trades at a trailing P/E of 11.6x, well below the industry average of 29x, indicating a sizable valuation discount. The stock yields 3.0% on dividends with a modest 14% payout ratio, suggesting good sustainability. However, the price of ¥3,255 sits beneath the 20‑day (¥3,381), 50‑day (¥3,426) and 200‑day (¥3,274) moving averages, and the MACD is in a bearish configuration, pointing to short‑term downside pressure. RSI at 36 hints at oversold conditions, and the technical support at ¥3,181 offers a cushion before further declines. The upside/downside projection of roughly 12% places the target near ¥3,650, close to the recent resistance level. Fundamentally, revenue grew 7.6% YoY and margins remain healthy, but a debt‑to‑equity ratio of 119 signals leverage risk. The company’s low beta (~0.04) and low volatility (18% 30‑day) imply limited market‑wide swings, while the increasing volume trend improves liquidity outlook. In sum, the stock appears undervalued with solid dividend appeal, but investors should watch technical weakness and high leverage before committing.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price below all major SMAs
- Bearish MACD histogram
- RSI approaching oversold territory
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Significant valuation discount vs industry
- Attractive 3% dividend yield with low payout
- Low systematic risk (beta near zero)
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Sustainable dividend and stable cash flow generation
- Consistent revenue growth and solid operating margins
- Undervalued price relative to earnings and book value
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth7.60%
Profit Margin9.48%
P/E Ratio11.7
ROE9.21%
ROA2.99%
Debt/Equity119.39
P/B Ratio1.0
Industry P/E29.1
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI36.3
Support¥3,181.00
Resistance¥3,570.00
MA 20¥3,381.55
MA 50¥3,425.98
MA 200¥3,273.52
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88
Valuation
Target Price¥3,650.00
Upside/Downside12.14%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.01%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.04
Volatility18.14%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.