902:HKEXHuaneng Power International, Inc. Class H Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time
¥3,404.00
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
East Japan Railway Co. is trading at ¥3,404, well below its 20‑day, 50‑day and 200‑day moving averages of ¥3,490, ¥3,546 and ¥3,743, indicating a short‑term bearish bias. However, the MACD histogram has turned positive, the RSI sits at a neutral 43, and volume is increasing, suggesting emerging bullish momentum as the price holds above the identified support of ¥3,243. Valuation metrics reinforce the upside case: the trailing P/E of 15.5 is less than half the industry average of 30.6, the DCF‑derived fair value is ¥5,869 (≈18% upside), and the dividend yield of 2.47% with a 33.7% payout ratio adds income appeal.
Fundamentally, the company posted ~11% revenue growth, respectable gross and operating margins (36.7% and 7.7% respectively), and strong operating cash flow of ¥765 bn, but it carries a very high debt‑to‑equity ratio of 159 and negative free cash flow, which tempers the optimism. Analyst consensus is “buy” with a mean target of ¥4,028, and the market sentiment index reflects “Extreme Greed,” underscoring confidence despite the elevated debt profile.
Fundamentally, the company posted ~11% revenue growth, respectable gross and operating margins (36.7% and 7.7% respectively), and strong operating cash flow of ¥765 bn, but it carries a very high debt‑to‑equity ratio of 159 and negative free cash flow, which tempers the optimism. Analyst consensus is “buy” with a mean target of ¥4,028, and the market sentiment index reflects “Extreme Greed,” underscoring confidence despite the elevated debt profile.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Technical bullish MACD histogram amid rising volume
- Price near support with ~18% upside to DCF fair value
- Attractive dividend yield of 2.47% with modest payout
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Significant valuation gap to fair value and low P/E vs peers
- Revenue growth of ~11% and solid operating cash flow generation
- Analyst consensus buy and strong market sentiment
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- High debt‑to‑equity ratio and negative free cash flow
- Stable demand for rail and ancillary services in Japan
- Sustainable dividend supported by operating cash flow
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth10.90%
Profit Margin8.04%
P/E Ratio15.5
ROE8.39%
ROA2.47%
Debt/Equity158.82
P/B Ratio1.3
Op. Cash Flow¥765.1B
Free Cash Flow¥-216981504000
Industry P/E30.6
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI43.2
Support¥3,243.00
Resistance¥3,844.00
MA 20¥3,489.65
MA 50¥3,546.44
MA 200¥3,742.52
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86
Valuation
Fair Value¥5,868.84
Target Price¥4,027.50
Upside/Downside18.32%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.47%
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.25
Volatility36.87%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.