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9023:TSETokyo Metro Co Ltd Analysis

Data as of 2026-07-07 - not real-time

¥1,483.00

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Tokyo Metro trades below its 20‑day, 50‑day and 200‑day moving averages, signaling a bearish price environment, while the RSI sits in the upper half of its range, indicating momentum is still intact. The MACD histogram is positive and the MACD line is above the signal line, offering a bullish counter‑signal that could precede a short‑term bounce.
Fundamentally, the stock’s price‑to‑earnings multiple is well under the industry average, and a three‑percent dividend yield coupled with a payout ratio below half suggests cash‑flow strength and dividend sustainability. Low beta, high volatility, and a recent max drawdown highlight risk, but the company’s solid operating margins, stable cash generation, and government‑linked business model provide a defensive cushion for longer horizons.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price below key moving averages
  • Positive MACD histogram
  • Elevated short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • PE discount to industry peers
  • Attractive dividend yield with sustainable payout
  • Stable operating cash flow supporting earnings

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑run demand for urban rail transit in Tokyo
  • Diversified revenue streams from retail and real‑estate
  • Consistent dividend policy reinforcing shareholder returns

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth3.80%
Profit Margin13.97%
P/E Ratio14.6
ROE8.13%
ROA2.75%
Debt/Equity145.83
P/B Ratio1.2
Op. Cash Flow¥133.8B
Free Cash Flow¥44.6B
Industry P/E32.2

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI64.3
Support¥1,315.50
Resistance¥1,491.00
MA 20¥1,387.35
MA 50¥1,450.31
MA 200¥1,590.85
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.13

Valuation

Target Price¥1,519.00
Upside/Downside2.43%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.00%

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.12
Volatility24.77%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.