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9023:TSETokyo Metro Co Ltd Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-13 - not real-time

¥1,348.00

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Tokyo Metro is trading well below its short‑term and medium‑term moving averages, confirming a bearish price orientation. The relative strength index is deep in oversold territory, hinting at a possible short‑term rebound. The MACD histogram remains negative, reinforcing the current downtrend. Trading volume has been on the rise, providing some support for liquidity. The price is hovering near a key support level identified by recent analysis.
Fundamentally, the company posts solid profit margins and a healthy free‑cash‑flow generation that comfortably covers its dividend payout. Its price‑to‑earnings multiple sits far below the industry average, suggesting an undervalued valuation. The dividend yield is attractive and the payout ratio is moderate, indicating sustainability. However, the balance sheet carries a very high debt load relative to equity, which adds leverage risk. Overall, the stock offers a value‑oriented profile with dividend appeal but requires caution on the debt side.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Oversold RSI suggests a near‑term price bounce
  • Price is near a technical support level
  • Increasing volume supports short‑term buying interest

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Attractive valuation relative to industry peers
  • Stable dividend yield
  • High leverage remains a concern

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Consistent cash‑flow generation
  • Dividend sustainability
  • Regulated railway environment provides long‑term stability

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth3.80%
Profit Margin13.97%
P/E Ratio13.3
ROE8.13%
ROA2.75%
Debt/Equity145.83
P/B Ratio1.1
Op. Cash Flow¥133.8B
Free Cash Flow¥44.7B
Industry P/E30.6

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI23.4
Support¥1,338.00
Resistance¥1,547.00
MA 20¥1,436.88
MA 50¥1,528.16
MA 200¥1,619.27
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Valuation

Target Price¥1,554.00
Upside/Downside15.28%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.26%

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.08
Volatility18.85%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.