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9023:TSETokyo Metro Co Ltd Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time

¥1,628.50

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Tokyo Metro is trading at ¥1,628.5, just above the calculated support of ¥1,591.5 and below the resistance of ¥1,735, indicating a price range that could test the lower band soon. The 20‑day SMA (¥1,672.5) sits above both the 50‑day (¥1,654.5) and 200‑day (¥1,664.4) averages, suggesting short‑term momentum, yet the MACD is bearish (negative line, positive signal) and volume is on a downtrend, adding pressure on the upside. Valuation metrics show a PE of 16.3 versus an industry average of 29.1, and a P/B of 1.3, pointing to a potentially undervalued position, while the dividend yield of 2.58% with a 61% payout offers income appeal. However, the balance sheet raises concerns: a debt‑to‑equity ratio of 147 and cash of ¥67.4 bn against debt of ¥1.07 trn suggest high leverage, and operating cash flow is reported as zero, questioning the sustainability of earnings. Risk indicators include a 30‑day volatility of 20.7% and an almost neutral beta of 0.02, meaning market moves have limited impact but price swings are sizable. Overall, the stock presents a mixed picture of attractive valuation and dividend versus significant debt and short‑term technical weakness.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD histogram and decreasing volume
  • Price hovering just above key support level
  • Neutral RSI indicating no strong momentum

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • PE well below industry average suggesting undervaluation
  • Attractive dividend yield with a 61% payout ratio
  • Stable operating margins and consistent revenue growth

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • High debt‑to‑equity ratio could pressure cash flow
  • Long‑term demand for urban rail services in Tokyo
  • Regulatory environment providing stable revenue streams

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth2.50%
Profit Margin15.09%
P/E Ratio16.3
ROE8.91%
ROA2.67%
Debt/Equity147.44
P/B Ratio1.3
Industry P/E29.1

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI43.0
Support¥1,591.50
Resistance¥1,735.00
MA 20¥1,672.53
MA 50¥1,654.53
MA 200¥1,664.39
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Target Price¥1,677.00
Upside/Downside2.98%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield2.58%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.02
Volatility20.71%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.