9020:TSEEast Japan Railway Company Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-20 - not real-time
¥3,775.00
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The stock is trading well above its 20‑day and 50‑day moving averages, while the MACD histogram remains strongly positive and the RSI sits comfortably in the upper‑mid range, suggesting lingering momentum despite a reported bearish trend direction. At the same time, the price is markedly below the discounted cash‑flow fair value estimate and the company’s P/E sits far under the industry average, indicating a sizable valuation gap.
Fundamentally, revenue is expanding at double‑digit rates and the dividend yield exceeds two percent with a modest payout ratio, supporting the case for sustainable income. Low beta and stable volume point to limited market‑wide volatility, though the 30‑day price swings are relatively high, and the sector’s regulatory environment carries a medium‑level risk. Overall, the blend of attractive valuation, solid growth, and reliable dividend makes the stock a compelling candidate for investors with a medium‑ to long‑term horizon.
Fundamentally, revenue is expanding at double‑digit rates and the dividend yield exceeds two percent with a modest payout ratio, supporting the case for sustainable income. Low beta and stable volume point to limited market‑wide volatility, though the 30‑day price swings are relatively high, and the sector’s regulatory environment carries a medium‑level risk. Overall, the blend of attractive valuation, solid growth, and reliable dividend makes the stock a compelling candidate for investors with a medium‑ to long‑term horizon.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near recent resistance level
- Bullish MACD and RSI supporting short‑term momentum
- Overall bearish trend direction cautioning against aggressive buying
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Significant valuation upside versus DCF fair value
- Revenue growth above 10% and solid operating cash flow
- Attractive dividend yield with sustainable payout
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Long‑term infrastructure demand and diversified business segments
- Consistently low market beta reducing systematic risk
- Undervalued relative to peers and stable dividend policy
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth10.90%
Profit Margin8.04%
P/E Ratio17.2
ROE8.39%
ROA2.47%
Debt/Equity158.82
P/B Ratio1.4
Op. Cash Flow¥765.1B
Free Cash Flow¥-216981504000
Industry P/E29.2
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI58.2
Support¥3,277.00
Resistance¥3,844.00
MA 20¥3,601.55
MA 50¥3,631.30
MA 200¥3,732.32
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.25
Valuation
Fair Value¥5,636.59
Target Price¥4,069.17
Upside/Downside7.79%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.22%
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.20
Volatility35.39%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.