9020:TSEEast Japan Railway Company Analysis
Data as of 2026-09-07 - not real-time
¥3,502.00
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The moving-average structure behind East Japan Railway Company is bearish at ¥3,502.00, with short-term averages lagging the long-term ones. The last 30 days have lost 3.6%. Relative strength is 46.3 — neutral — and the MACD signal is bearish. Watch ¥3,392.00 as support and ¥3,666.00 as the nearer resistance level.
On valuation the read is undervalued — earnings multiple of 16.0 versus a 28.5 sector average, below the peer group. Sell-side targets cluster 14.8% above the current quote. Revenue is growing at 8.0% on a 7.5% profit margin. The 2.39% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk comes out at 4 of a possible 10, a moderate reading. With 30-day volatility of 33.8%, a beta of -0.30 and a maximum drawdown of 21.9%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons diverge: sell near-term but hold on a long view, at 3/10 conviction over the longer horizon.
On valuation the read is undervalued — earnings multiple of 16.0 versus a 28.5 sector average, below the peer group. Sell-side targets cluster 14.8% above the current quote. Revenue is growing at 8.0% on a 7.5% profit margin. The 2.39% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk comes out at 4 of a possible 10, a moderate reading. With 30-day volatility of 33.8%, a beta of -0.30 and a maximum drawdown of 21.9%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons diverge: sell near-term but hold on a long view, at 3/10 conviction over the longer horizon.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 3698.66
- MACD momentum is negative
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 2/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- P/E of 16.0 versus sector average of 28.5
- Trading below the 200-day average of 3698.66
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- P/E of 16.0 versus sector average of 28.5
- Analyst targets imply +14.8% versus the current price
- Dividend yield of 2.39%
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth8.00%
Profit Margin7.55%
P/E Ratio16.0
ROE7.95%
ROA2.57%
Debt/Equity162.62
P/B Ratio1.3
Industry P/E28.5
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI46.3
Support¥3,392.00
Resistance¥3,666.00
MA 20¥3,524.05
MA 50¥3,539.04
MA 200¥3,698.66
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index95.48
Valuation
Target Price¥4,020.83
Upside/Downside14.82%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.39%
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.30
Volatility33.80%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.