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9007:TSEOdakyu Electric Railway Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-13 - not real-time

¥1,682.50

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Odakyu Electric Railway trades at a price‑earnings multiple that is well below the average for the railroad industry, indicating a potential valuation edge. The stock benefits from a robust dividend yield that sits comfortably above the high‑single‑digit range, with a payout ratio near half of earnings, suggesting sustainability. Technical signals show a bullish MACD divergence while the RSI hovers in neutral territory, and the price is aligned with its long‑term moving average, implying a balanced short‑term outlook. Beta is exceptionally low, reflecting minimal sensitivity to broader market swings, yet the 30‑day volatility remains elevated, pointing to price swings that could challenge tight‑stop strategies. Volume trends are rising, supporting liquidity for new positions. Overall, the combination of undervalued fundamentals, solid dividend policy, and defensive market exposure makes the stock attractive for investors seeking income and value.
Given the neutral trend direction and support‑resistance dynamics, the near‑term environment calls for patience rather than aggressive positioning. The modest upside potential relative to the median analyst target aligns with a medium‑term buying case, while the long‑run outlook remains positive as the company leverages its diversified transportation and real‑estate businesses. Investors should monitor any shifts in operating cash flow or regulatory changes that could affect the dividend trajectory, but current metrics support a cautiously optimistic stance.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Neutral price trend with support near recent lows
  • Bullish MACD but modest upside
  • Elevated short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Undervalued P/E relative to peers
  • Strong dividend yield and sustainable payout
  • Low beta indicating defensive profile

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Diversified revenue streams across transport and real estate
  • Consistent dividend policy
  • Stable regulatory environment for rail operations

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Profit Margin8.92%
P/E Ratio15.6
ROE7.61%
ROA2.44%
Debt/Equity130.53
P/B Ratio1.1
Op. Cash Flow¥61.0B
Industry P/E30.6

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI54.2
Support¥1,560.00
Resistance¥1,737.50
MA 20¥1,662.20
MA 50¥1,651.52
MA 200¥1,682.46
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Valuation

Target Price¥1,800.00
Upside/Downside6.98%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.57%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.09
Volatility36.06%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.