9006:TSEKeikyu Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-27 - not real-time
Latest Price
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Keikyu Corp. is trading at ¥1,502.5, which sits below its 20‑day (¥1,549.8) and 50‑day (¥1,548.7) SMAs, indicating short‑term weakness despite a bullish overall trend label. The RSI of 41 suggests the stock is not yet oversold, while a bearish MACD histogram reinforces momentum pressure. Valuation appears mixed: a trailing PE of 14.8 is well under the industry average of 30.1, yet the DCF‑derived fair value of ¥558 flags a substantial overvaluation gap and only a modest 4.3% upside to target. The dividend yield of 3.03% and a 45% payout ratio are attractive, but a debt‑to‑equity ratio of 131 and negative free‑cash‑flow raise sustainability concerns. Volatility is elevated at 23.5% over 30 days, though beta is low at 0.22, indicating limited market‑wide price swings. The market sentiment is in “Extreme Greed” mode, which may be inflating price beyond fundamentals. Overall, the stock offers a decent income component but faces leverage and cash‑flow headwinds that temper enthusiasm.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearKey Factors
- Bearish MACD and price below short‑term SMAs
- Proximity to support level at ¥1,495.5
- High leverage and negative free cash flow
Medium Term
1–3 yearsKey Factors
- Attractive dividend yield of 3.03%
- PE well below industry average
- Analyst target median price of ¥1,575 suggests upside
Long Term
> 3 yearsKey Factors
- Stable revenue growth and infrastructure moat
- Consistent dividend payouts
- Elevated debt levels and cash‑flow constraints
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Technical Analysis
Valuation
Risk Assessment
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.