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9006:TSEKeikyu Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-27 - not real-time

¥1,502.50

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Keikyu Corp. is trading at ¥1,502.5, which sits below its 20‑day (¥1,549.8) and 50‑day (¥1,548.7) SMAs, indicating short‑term weakness despite a bullish overall trend label. The RSI of 41 suggests the stock is not yet oversold, while a bearish MACD histogram reinforces momentum pressure. Valuation appears mixed: a trailing PE of 14.8 is well under the industry average of 30.1, yet the DCF‑derived fair value of ¥558 flags a substantial overvaluation gap and only a modest 4.3% upside to target. The dividend yield of 3.03% and a 45% payout ratio are attractive, but a debt‑to‑equity ratio of 131 and negative free‑cash‑flow raise sustainability concerns. Volatility is elevated at 23.5% over 30 days, though beta is low at 0.22, indicating limited market‑wide price swings. The market sentiment is in “Extreme Greed” mode, which may be inflating price beyond fundamentals. Overall, the stock offers a decent income component but faces leverage and cash‑flow headwinds that temper enthusiasm.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD and price below short‑term SMAs
  • Proximity to support level at ¥1,495.5
  • High leverage and negative free cash flow

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Attractive dividend yield of 3.03%
  • PE well below industry average
  • Analyst target median price of ¥1,575 suggests upside

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Stable revenue growth and infrastructure moat
  • Consistent dividend payouts
  • Elevated debt levels and cash‑flow constraints

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth7.20%
Profit Margin9.04%
P/E Ratio14.8
ROE7.22%
ROA1.93%
Debt/Equity130.97
P/B Ratio1.0
Op. Cash Flow¥47.9B
Free Cash Flow¥-51999997952
Industry P/E30.1

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI41.1
Support¥1,495.50
Resistance¥1,625.00
MA 20¥1,549.75
MA 50¥1,548.68
MA 200¥1,534.65
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index91.11

Valuation

Fair Value¥558.37
Target Price¥1,567.50
Upside/Downside4.33%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.03%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.22
Volatility23.52%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.