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9005:TSETOKYU CORPORATION Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-05 - not real-time

¥1,682.50

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Tokyu Corporation is trading below its 50‑day and 200‑day moving averages, indicating a bearish medium‑term price trend, while the 20‑day SMA sits just under the current price, offering a modest near‑term support. The RSI hovers around the mid‑50s, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions, and the MACD histogram is positive, hinting at a potential short‑term bullish reversal.
Fundamentally, the company delivers solid revenue growth of roughly twelve percent and a respectable dividend yield near two percent, yet its free cash flow is negative and debt‑to‑equity exceeds 140%, raising concerns about sustainability. The discounted cash‑flow model values the stock well below the market price, implying that the shares are currently overvalued despite a modest payout ratio.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price below 50‑day and 200‑day SMAs signaling bearish bias
  • Positive MACD histogram suggesting a possible short‑term bounce
  • Support level near the 20‑day SMA provides a floor

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Steady revenue growth and dividend yield attractive for income investors
  • High leverage and negative free cash flow increase financial risk
  • Market price exceeds DCF fair value, indicating overvaluation

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Significant overvaluation relative to intrinsic DCF estimate
  • Elevated debt‑to‑equity ratio and ongoing cash‑flow deficit
  • Sector exposure to consumer cyclicality may exacerbate downside risk

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth12.00%
Profit Margin8.02%
P/E Ratio19.9
ROE9.72%
ROA2.30%
Debt/Equity144.32
P/B Ratio1.1
Op. Cash Flow¥127.7B
Free Cash Flow¥-60252250112

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI52.7
Support¥1,580.00
Resistance¥1,721.50
MA 20¥1,637.65
MA 50¥1,744.52
MA 200¥1,805.61
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.93

Valuation

Fair Value¥1,133.87
Target Price¥2,144.29
Upside/Downside27.45%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.92%

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.01
Volatility20.67%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.