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8986:TSEDaiwa Securities Living Investment Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-18 - not real-time

¥104,000.00

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Daiwa Securities Living Investment Corporation is currently trading at ¥104,000, which sits below its 20‑day (¥107,235), 50‑day (¥110,058) and 200‑day (¥110,606.5) simple moving averages, signaling a bearish price environment. The RSI of 30.6 % places the stock in oversold territory, while the MACD histogram remains negative, confirming a bearish momentum. Price is hugging the identified support level of ¥103,600, just a few thousand yen above the day’s low, indicating limited downside cushion. Despite the technical weakness, the REIT offers an attractive 5 % dividend yield, albeit with a high payout ratio of 94 %, and a strong operating margin of 47 % that supports cash generation. However, the balance sheet is leveraged, with a debt‑to‑equity ratio of 101 % and total debt of ¥152.7 bn, which raises concerns about interest‑rate sensitivity. The fund’s low beta (0.23) suggests limited price volatility relative to the market, and the DCF‑derived fair value implies a 14.9 % upside potential, providing a modest valuation cushion.
Overall, the stock presents a mixed picture: technical indicators are bearish and leverage is high, but the dividend yield, solid cash flow, and upside from valuation support a neutral to cautiously optimistic stance for investors with a longer horizon.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish technicals (price below SMAs, RSI oversold)
  • Proximity to support level limiting downside
  • High dividend payout ratio approaching sustainability limits

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Attractive 5 % dividend yield
  • Potential 14.9 % upside from DCF valuation
  • Elevated leverage requiring monitoring

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Undervalued relative to fair value estimate
  • Stable operating cash flow and strong margins
  • Low beta indicating defensive characteristics

Key Metrics & Analysis

REIT Metrics

P/FFO8.329452182959757

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI30.6
Support¥103,600.00
Resistance¥111,600.00
MA 20¥107,235.00
MA 50¥110,058.00
MA 200¥110,606.50
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.61

Risk Assessment

Beta0.23
Volatility14.17%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.