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8967:TSEJapan Logistics Fund, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-18 - not real-time

¥92,500.00

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Japan Logistics Fund, Inc. trades at ¥92,500, just above its 20‑day SMA of ¥92,025 but comfortably below the 50‑day SMA of ¥94,258, confirming a short‑term bearish bias. The RSI sits at 48, indicating neutral momentum, while the MACD histogram is positive and the signal is deemed bullish, suggesting a potential near‑term reversal. The stock is supported at ¥89,900 and faces resistance around ¥94,000, with decreasing volume pointing to limited liquidity. Valuation appears attractive: the trailing PE of 20.4 is well under the industry average of 32.4, the forward PE of 8.3 signals a 24.5% upside potential, and the price‑to‑book ratio of 0.62 underscores a substantial margin of safety. Despite the low beta of 0.18 and modest 30‑day volatility of 11.8%, the REIT carries a high debt‑to‑equity ratio of 85% and a cash‑to‑debt mismatch (¥10.1 bn cash vs ¥114.7 bn debt), which tempers the upside narrative. The fund delivers strong operating performance—gross margin of 58.5% and profit margin of 53%—but offers no dividend yield, limiting income‑focused appeal. Overall, the metrics suggest a modest upside in the medium term, balanced by leverage and liquidity concerns that warrant caution for longer horizons.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • price trading just above the 20‑day SMA but below the 50‑day SMA
  • bearish trend direction with decreasing volume
  • proximity to the identified support level at ¥89,900

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • valuation discount vs industry (PE 20.4 vs 32.4)
  • forward PE of 8.3 indicating sizable upside
  • price‑to‑book ratio of 0.62 providing a safety cushion

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • high leverage with debt‑to‑equity at 85%
  • strong operating margins and robust cash flow generation
  • low beta and minimal currency exposure

Key Metrics & Analysis

REIT Metrics

P/FFO13.731556901773166

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI48.1
Support¥89,900.00
Resistance¥94,000.00
MA 20¥92,025.00
MA 50¥94,258.00
MA 200¥99,317.50
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.5

Risk Assessment

Beta0.18
Volatility11.80%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.