8954:TSEORIX JREIT Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-08-30 - not real-time
¥97,600.00
Latest Price
3/10Risk
Risk Level: Low
Executive Summary
At ¥97,600.00, ORIX JREIT Inc. shows no decisive moving-average alignment, leaving the trend neutral. The last 30 days have lost 2.3%. Relative strength is 39.9 — approaching oversold — and the MACD signal is bearish. Price has been bracketed by support at ¥97,500.00 and resistance at ¥104,800.00.
Multiples put this in undervalued territory: 20.0 times earnings against the sector's 32.2. Consensus targets land 16.8% above where the shares trade now. The 4.98% dividend yield looks stretched against payout coverage.
Risk scores 3 out of 10, which is low for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 20.1%, a beta of 0.17 and a maximum drawdown of 15.0%, the drawdown profile is forgiving relative to most of the market. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 96 on the fear-greed composite.
Timeframes disagree: the short-term read is hold while the long-term read is buy, conviction 6 out of 10.
Multiples put this in undervalued territory: 20.0 times earnings against the sector's 32.2. Consensus targets land 16.8% above where the shares trade now. The 4.98% dividend yield looks stretched against payout coverage.
Risk scores 3 out of 10, which is low for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 20.1%, a beta of 0.17 and a maximum drawdown of 15.0%, the drawdown profile is forgiving relative to most of the market. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 96 on the fear-greed composite.
Timeframes disagree: the short-term read is hold while the long-term read is buy, conviction 6 out of 10.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 1/10
Key Factors
- Trading below the 200-day average of 101489.50
- MACD momentum is negative
- RSI at 39.9 is in neutral territory
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- P/E of 20.0 versus sector average of 32.2
- Dividend yield of 4.98% looks stretched against payout coverage
- Trading below the 200-day average of 101489.50
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- P/E of 20.0 versus sector average of 32.2
- Dividend yield of 4.98% looks stretched against payout coverage
- Analyst targets imply +16.8% versus the current price
Key Metrics & Analysis
REIT Metrics
P/FFO12.082892282400225
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI39.9
Support¥97,500.00
Resistance¥104,800.00
MA 20¥100,075.00
MA 50¥99,426.00
MA 200¥101,489.50
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index95.66
Risk Assessment
Beta0.17
Volatility20.12%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.