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8830:TSESumitomo Realty & Development Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-07-24 - not real-time

¥3,680.00

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Sumitomo Realty trades below its 20‑day and 50‑day moving averages, signaling short‑term pressure. The MACD histogram is negative and the signal line is bearish, reinforcing a cautious near‑term outlook. However, the RSI sits near the mid‑range, indicating the stock is not oversold. Fundamentally, revenue is expanding at a robust pace and margins remain healthy, supporting earnings growth. The trailing P/E is roughly half the industry average, suggesting the stock is priced attractively relative to peers. A price‑to‑book near one and a half places the market close to book value, further underscoring potential undervaluation.
Dividend yield sits above one percent with a payout ratio well under twenty percent, pointing to a sustainable income stream. The balance sheet shows ample cash but a high debt‑to‑equity ratio; nevertheless, the low beta and modest volatility temper systematic risk. Analyst consensus leans toward a buy, with target prices implying a substantial upside. The combination of solid fundamentals and attractive valuation makes the stock a compelling candidate for medium‑ to long‑term investors. Caution remains due to decreasing volume and a neutral technical stance, so short‑term positioning should be measured. Overall, the risk‑reward profile favors accumulation at current levels.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD signal
  • Price below short‑term moving averages
  • Decreasing volume

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Undervalued relative to industry P/E
  • Strong revenue growth and margins
  • Sustainable dividend with low payout

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Low systematic risk reflected by low beta
  • Potential upside to target price
  • Resilient real estate portfolio in Japan

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth20.40%
Profit Margin20.09%
P/E Ratio16.1
ROE9.16%
ROA2.69%
Debt/Equity160.92
P/B Ratio1.4
Op. Cash Flow¥127.3B
Free Cash Flow¥-76556124160
Industry P/E33.1

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI44.7
Support¥3,446.00
Resistance¥3,952.00
MA 20¥3,775.20
MA 50¥3,702.84
MA 200¥4,068.71
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.41

Valuation

Target Price¥5,080.00
Upside/Downside38.04%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.41%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.30
Volatility30.87%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.