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8804:TSETokyo Tatemono Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time

¥3,795.00

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Tokyo Tatemono is trading at ¥3,795, which sits below its 20‑day (¥4,101) and 50‑day (¥3,869) simple moving averages but remains above the 200‑day SMA of ¥3,120, indicating short‑term weakness within a longer‑term uptrend. The stock is hovering just above the calculated support level of ¥3,766 and faces resistance near ¥4,374, while the RSI of 40.5 suggests it is not yet oversold. A bearish MACD histogram (‑¥58.5) and a “bearish” MACD signal reinforce the near‑term downside bias, yet volume is stable and the 30‑day volatility is high at roughly 41%, implying sizable price swings. The market sentiment is in “Greed” territory (Fear‑Greed Index 72.9), supporting the bullish trend direction flagged by the technical model.
Fundamentally, the company posted ¥474.6 bn in revenue with a 42.8% growth rate, delivering solid margins (gross 30%, operating 23%, profit 12.4%). At a trailing P/E of 13.4 versus an industry average of 32.5, the stock appears significantly undervalued, and the dividend yield of 3.21% with a 37% payout ratio looks sustainable. However, the balance sheet is levered (debt‑to‑equity 222.8) and free cash flow is negative, which tempers the upside despite the attractive valuation and dividend profile.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near technical support at ¥3,766
  • Bearish MACD histogram and signal
  • Stable trading volume despite high volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Undervalued P/E relative to industry peers
  • Strong revenue growth and healthy operating margins
  • Attractive dividend yield with sustainable payout

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term asset base in Japan’s real estate market
  • Consistent dividend income
  • Potential for valuation re‑rating as debt is managed

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth42.80%
Profit Margin12.41%
P/E Ratio13.4
ROE10.38%
ROA2.76%
Debt/Equity222.81
P/B Ratio1.3
Op. Cash Flow¥32.1B
Free Cash Flow¥-48661250048
Industry P/E32.5

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI40.5
Support¥3,766.00
Resistance¥4,374.00
MA 20¥4,101.45
MA 50¥3,868.50
MA 200¥3,119.73
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Target Price¥4,254.44
Upside/Downside12.11%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.21%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.32
Volatility40.97%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.