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8630:TSESompo Holdings,Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time

¥5,913.00

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Sompo Holdings trades around ¥5,913, just above its 20‑day support of ¥5,604 and below the 52‑week high of ¥6,302. The stock sits under the 50‑day SMA (¥5,684) and shows a bullish price trend despite a bearish MACD histogram, while the RSI of 52 indicates neutral momentum. Valuation metrics are attractive: a trailing P/E of 13x is well below the industry average of 17.4x and the price‑to‑book ratio of 1.06 suggests the market is pricing the company close to its book value. The dividend yield of 2.6% with a modest payout ratio of 33% appears sustainable.
Recent regulatory approval and completion of the Aspen Insurance acquisition expands Sompo’s global reinsurance platform, providing a clear growth catalyst. Combined with a solid ROE of 17% and low beta (~0.5), the fundamentals support an upside potential of roughly 5% to the analyst median target of ¥6,355, while volatility remains elevated at 34% over the past 30 days.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near technical support with limited upside
  • Neutral momentum (RSI 52, bearish MACD)
  • Attractive dividend yield

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Undervalued relative to peers (P/E 13 vs 17.4)
  • Integration of Aspen Insurance adding growth potential
  • Sustainable dividend and strong ROE

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Diversified global insurance platform post‑Acquisition
  • Stable cash generation and low beta indicating defensive profile
  • Consistent dividend payout and solid return ratios

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Profit Margin12.21%
P/E Ratio13.0
ROE17.39%
ROA3.70%
Debt/Equity14.27
P/B Ratio1.1
Industry P/E17.4

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI52.4
Support¥5,604.00
Resistance¥6,302.00
MA 20¥5,959.20
MA 50¥5,684.14
MA 200¥4,881.57
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index80.27

Valuation

Target Price¥6,230.00
Upside/Downside5.36%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.60%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.49
Volatility34.51%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.