8630:TSESompo Holdings,Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time
¥5,913.00
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Sompo Holdings trades around ¥5,913, just above its 20‑day support of ¥5,604 and below the 52‑week high of ¥6,302. The stock sits under the 50‑day SMA (¥5,684) and shows a bullish price trend despite a bearish MACD histogram, while the RSI of 52 indicates neutral momentum. Valuation metrics are attractive: a trailing P/E of 13x is well below the industry average of 17.4x and the price‑to‑book ratio of 1.06 suggests the market is pricing the company close to its book value. The dividend yield of 2.6% with a modest payout ratio of 33% appears sustainable.
Recent regulatory approval and completion of the Aspen Insurance acquisition expands Sompo’s global reinsurance platform, providing a clear growth catalyst. Combined with a solid ROE of 17% and low beta (~0.5), the fundamentals support an upside potential of roughly 5% to the analyst median target of ¥6,355, while volatility remains elevated at 34% over the past 30 days.
Recent regulatory approval and completion of the Aspen Insurance acquisition expands Sompo’s global reinsurance platform, providing a clear growth catalyst. Combined with a solid ROE of 17% and low beta (~0.5), the fundamentals support an upside potential of roughly 5% to the analyst median target of ¥6,355, while volatility remains elevated at 34% over the past 30 days.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near technical support with limited upside
- Neutral momentum (RSI 52, bearish MACD)
- Attractive dividend yield
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Undervalued relative to peers (P/E 13 vs 17.4)
- Integration of Aspen Insurance adding growth potential
- Sustainable dividend and strong ROE
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Diversified global insurance platform post‑Acquisition
- Stable cash generation and low beta indicating defensive profile
- Consistent dividend payout and solid return ratios
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Profit Margin12.21%
P/E Ratio13.0
ROE17.39%
ROA3.70%
Debt/Equity14.27
P/B Ratio1.1
Industry P/E17.4
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI52.4
Support¥5,604.00
Resistance¥6,302.00
MA 20¥5,959.20
MA 50¥5,684.14
MA 200¥4,881.57
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index80.27
Valuation
Target Price¥6,230.00
Upside/Downside5.36%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.60%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.49
Volatility34.51%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.