8604:TSENomura Holdings, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-08-18 - not real-time
¥1,553.50
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Nomura Holdings, Inc. is priced at ¥1,553.50 and its moving averages line up in bullish order, the shorter sitting above the longer. Across the trailing 30 sessions it gained 5.6%. Relative strength is 52.2 — neutral — and the MACD signal is bearish. Price has been bracketed by support at ¥1,455.50 and resistance at ¥1,624.50.
On valuation the read is undervalued — earnings multiple of 11.7 versus a 16.9 sector average, below the peer group. Analyst price targets sit 9.3% above the current price. Revenue is growing at 31.2% on a 17.3% profit margin. The 3.27% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk scores 5 out of 10, which is moderate for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 38.2%, a beta of 0.91 and a maximum drawdown of 20.9%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
All three time horizons resolve to buy, carrying 6/10 conviction.
On valuation the read is undervalued — earnings multiple of 11.7 versus a 16.9 sector average, below the peer group. Analyst price targets sit 9.3% above the current price. Revenue is growing at 31.2% on a 17.3% profit margin. The 3.27% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk scores 5 out of 10, which is moderate for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 38.2%, a beta of 0.91 and a maximum drawdown of 20.9%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
All three time horizons resolve to buy, carrying 6/10 conviction.
Top Market Events
Wondering if Nomura Holdings at ¥1,250.5 is still offering value after a strong run, or if most of the upside is...Nomura Holdings stock has delivered a very strong 249.Nomura Holdings earnings event puts fresh focus on the stock Nomura Holdings TSE:8604 reported first quarter 2026...
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- Trading above the 200-day average of 1331.82
- MACD momentum is negative
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- P/E of 11.7 versus sector average of 16.9
- Trading above the 200-day average of 1331.82
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- P/E of 11.7 versus sector average of 16.9
- Analyst targets imply +9.3% versus the current price
- Profit margin of 17.3% is healthy
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth31.20%
Profit Margin17.29%
P/E Ratio11.7
ROE11.16%
ROA0.67%
Debt/Equity945.61
P/B Ratio1.2
Industry P/E16.9
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI52.2
Support¥1,455.50
Resistance¥1,624.50
MA 20¥1,562.55
MA 50¥1,500.07
MA 200¥1,331.82
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index94.3
Valuation
Target Price¥1,697.50
Upside/Downside9.27%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.27%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.91
Volatility38.16%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.