8604:TSENomura Holdings, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time
¥1,218.50
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Nomura Holdings trades well below its 20‑day and 50‑day moving averages, with a bearish MACD histogram and an RSI hovering in the mid‑30s, suggesting short‑term downside pressure but also a potential oversold condition. Fundamentally, the stock appears cheap – its price‑to‑earnings ratio sits far beneath the industry average and the price‑to‑book is under one, indicating a valuation advantage. The company delivers solid profitability margins and a near‑10% revenue growth rate, while offering a high dividend yield of over 4% with a moderate payout ratio, pointing to dividend sustainability. However, the balance sheet is heavily leveraged, reflected in an extreme debt‑to‑equity ratio, which introduces a notable financial risk despite a massive cash reserve. Market sentiment is currently in an “Extreme Greed” phase, and analyst forecasts target prices roughly 25% above the current level, implying upside potential. Overall, the blend of undervalued pricing, attractive yield, and growth prospects is tempered by leverage and technical weakness.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bearish MACD and price below short‑term averages
- Potential oversold RSI offering a bounce
- Attractive dividend yield providing income support
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Undervalued valuation metrics relative to peers
- Strong revenue growth and high profit margins
- Sustainable dividend with room for payout increase
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Robust cash reserves offsetting high leverage
- Consistent earnings generation and dividend stability
- Strategic position in capital markets with global client base
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth9.90%
Profit Margin17.63%
P/E Ratio10.3
ROE9.93%
ROA0.61%
Debt/Equity895.37
P/B Ratio1.0
Industry P/E17.5
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI36.3
Support¥1,145.00
Resistance¥1,481.50
MA 20¥1,365.18
MA 50¥1,378.30
MA 200¥1,122.42
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index80.86
Valuation
Target Price¥1,531.25
Upside/Downside25.67%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield4.57%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.71
Volatility49.53%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.