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8601:TSEDaiwa Securities Group Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-09-13 - not real-time

¥1,842.00

Latest Price

3/10Risk

Risk Level: Low

Executive Summary

The moving-average structure behind Daiwa Securities Group Inc. is bullish at ¥1,842.00, with short-term averages leading the long-term ones. Across the trailing 30 sessions it gained 2.8%. RSI sits at 54.1, which reads as neutral, and MACD momentum is bearish. Watch ¥1,719.00 as support and ¥1,898.00 as the nearer resistance level.
Valuation screens as fair: a P/E of 14.8 sits in line with the sector average of 16.2. The average analyst target implies 8.9% below today's level. Revenue is growing at 57.2% on a 20.9% profit margin. The 3.80% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk scores 3 out of 10, which is low for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 22.8%, a beta of 0.69 and a maximum drawdown of 14.2%, the drawdown profile is forgiving relative to most of the market. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons line up on hold — conviction 2 out of 10.

Top Market Events

Daiwa Securities Group Inc faces a ratings outlook change from Moody's and a fresh analyst view on ADaiwa Securities Group shares in Tokyo are back in focus as investors reassess valuation metrics andYahoo Finance7monDAIWA SECURITIES GROUP 8601.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 3/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
  • Trading above the 200-day average of 1569.05
  • MACD momentum is negative

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 3/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
  • P/E of 14.8 versus sector average of 16.2
  • Trading above the 200-day average of 1569.05

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 2/10

Key Factors

  • P/E of 14.8 versus sector average of 16.2
  • Analyst targets imply -8.9% versus the current price
  • Profit margin of 20.9% is healthy

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth57.20%
Profit Margin20.92%
P/E Ratio14.8
ROE10.96%
ROA0.58%
Debt/Equity1221.08
P/B Ratio1.4
Industry P/E16.2

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI54.1
Support¥1,719.00
Resistance¥1,898.00
MA 20¥1,817.15
MA 50¥1,807.29
MA 200¥1,569.05
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index93.14

Valuation

Target Price¥1,677.14
Upside/Downside-8.95%
GradeFair
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.80%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.69
Volatility22.82%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.