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8593:TSEMitsubishi HC Capital Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-13 - not real-time

¥1,414.00

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Mitsubishi HC Capital is trading at ¥1,414, comfortably above the 20‑day support of ¥1,388.5 but still under the 20‑day SMA of ¥1,473, indicating a modest upside potential. The stock’s PE ratio of 15 is slightly below the industry average of 16.35, and its price‑to‑book of 1.06 suggests a fair valuation. Dividend yield stands at 3.25% with a payout ratio of 42.5%, making the dividend attractive, yet operating cash flow is reported as zero, raising concerns about sustainability. Technical indicators show a neutral RSI (45) and a bearish MACD histogram, signaling short‑term downside pressure despite a broader bullish trend direction. Volatility is elevated at 28% over the past 30 days, but beta is low at 0.28, implying limited market‑wide risk exposure. The balance sheet is heavily leveraged, with a debt‑to‑equity ratio of nearly 490, which could constrain future dividend payments and growth. Overall, the company offers a blend of value and growth characteristics, backed by solid global diversification but tempered by financial risk.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • price above immediate support
  • bearish MACD histogram
  • stable trading volume

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • attractive dividend yield
  • valuation slightly below industry PE
  • global revenue diversification

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • high debt‑to‑equity ratio
  • consistent revenue growth
  • low market beta

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth10.40%
Profit Margin8.33%
P/E Ratio15.0
ROE9.81%
ROA1.34%
Debt/Equity489.53
P/B Ratio1.1
Industry P/E16.4

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI45.1
Support¥1,388.50
Resistance¥1,541.50
MA 20¥1,473.20
MA 50¥1,407.58
MA 200¥1,229.99
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Target Price¥1,428.75
Upside/Downside1.04%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.25%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.28
Volatility28.06%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.