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8570:TSEAEON Financial Service Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-15 - not real-time

¥1,512.50

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

AEON Financial Service trades at a PE of 15.5, comfortably below the industry average of 16.8, and its price‑to‑book of 0.68 suggests a margin of safety. The stock yields 3.5% dividend with a payout ratio of 54%, supported by ample cash reserves despite a high absolute debt figure. Recent fundamentals show a solid 9.9% revenue growth and forward EPS guidance that lifts the forward PE to around 11.3, indicating earnings momentum. Technically, the price sits under the 20‑day SMA (1510.4) but above the 50‑day SMA (1545.8), the RSI of 49 points to a neutral stance, while the MACD histogram is positive, hinting at a tentative bullish reversal amid a broader bearish trend and decreasing volume. Volatility remains elevated at roughly 22% (30‑day) but the beta of 0.11 underscores low systematic risk. Analyst price targets average 1522.5 with a median of 1545, offering modest upside of about 2% from the current level of 1512.5. The market sentiment is in an "Extreme Greed" phase (FGI 89.86), which could fuel short‑term buying pressure. Overall, the combination of undervaluation, attractive dividend, and improving earnings makes the stock appealing for medium‑ to long‑term investors, while the technical backdrop advises caution in the near term.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish price trend with support at 1413.5
  • Decreasing volume indicating waning momentum
  • MACD histogram positive but overall MACD still negative

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Undervalued relative to peers (PE, PB)
  • Attractive dividend yield and sustainable payout
  • Forward earnings growth raising forward PE to ~11.3

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Low beta and low systematic risk
  • Stable cash generation and strong dividend policy
  • Growth opportunities in digital solutions and regional expansion

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth9.90%
Profit Margin4.13%
P/E Ratio15.5
ROE6.05%
ROA0.46%
P/B Ratio0.7
Op. Cash Flow¥28.9B
Industry P/E16.8

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI49.4
Support¥1,413.50
Resistance¥1,619.00
MA 20¥1,510.40
MA 50¥1,545.81
MA 200¥1,581.47
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Valuation

Target Price¥1,522.50
Upside/Downside0.66%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.51%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.11
Volatility21.99%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.