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8359:TSEHachijuni Nagano Bank, Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-13 - not real-time

¥2,342.50

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The stock sits on a solid technical foundation: the 20‑day SMA now exceeds both the 50‑day and 200‑day averages, signaling a long‑term bullish trajectory, while the 30‑day volatility sits at a high 51% and the beta of roughly 0.95 places the share in line with the broader market. RSI hovers around the mid‑range (≈54), indicating neither strong over‑bought nor over‑sold pressure, and the MACD shows a bearish histogram with the line crossing below the signal, suggesting a potential short‑term pull‑back. Financial metrics show a PE of 16.6, which is marginally lower than the industry average of 16.8, and a price‑to‑book ratio of 0.92, suggesting the stock is modestly undervalued relative to peers. The dividend yield of 2.8% with a payout ratio under 40% adds a modest income component, while the limited analyst coverage highlighted by the Morningstar report underscores a need for independent assessment.
Overall, the blend of a bullish technical trend, modest undervaluation, and a stable dividend makes the stock attractive for holding, but the high volatility, moderate sector risk, and a forward‑PE projection of over 44 suggest caution in committing to larger positions.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • 20‑day SMA above 50‑day and 200‑day SMA
  • MACD bearish signal indicating possible pull‑back
  • Stable volume and modest dividend yield

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • PE slightly below industry average
  • High forward‑PE indicating future valuation pressure
  • Limited analyst coverage requiring self‑assessment

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Price‑to‑book ratio under 1 suggests intrinsic undervaluation
  • Steady dividend yield with low payout ratio
  • Geographic concentration in Japan limiting exposure

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth177.80%
Profit Margin25.70%
P/E Ratio16.6
ROE6.09%
ROA0.48%
P/B Ratio0.9
Op. Cash Flow¥-281847005184
Industry P/E16.8

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI54.2
Support¥2,205.00
Resistance¥2,470.50
MA 20¥2,325.00
MA 50¥2,206.48
MA 200¥1,826.44
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Valuation

Target Price¥2,300.00
Upside/Downside-1.81%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.77%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.95
Volatility51.64%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.