We use cookies to analyze site traffic and improve your experience.
By accepting, you consent to the use of analytics cookies.

8354:TSEFukuoka Financial Group, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-11 - not real-time

¥6,172.00

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Fukuoka Financial Group is trading at ¥6,172, comfortably above its 50‑day SMA of ¥5,981 but below the 20‑day SMA of ¥6,575, indicating short‑term pressure within a longer‑term uptrend. The RSI of 47.5 suggests neutral momentum, while the MACD histogram is sharply negative (-108) and the signal line is bearish, flagging recent downside bias. Despite the technical softness, the stock’s PE of 15.25 is below the industry average of 17.28, and the PB of 1.11 signals a modest discount to book value. Dividend yield stands at 3.07% with a payout ratio of 38%, supporting income‑focused investors. Volatility is high at 54.8% over 30 days, yet beta of 0.74 points to moderate market sensitivity. Analysts’ consensus is a "hold" with a mean target price of ¥6,181, essentially flat to the current level. The firm’s operating margin of 38% and profit margin of 23% demonstrate solid profitability, though revenue growth is flat. With stable trading volume and a support zone near ¥5,729, downside risk is bounded, while the next resistance at ¥7,334 offers upside potential. The macro environment in Japan’s regional banking sector remains stable, and regulatory risk is moderate. Overall, the blend of attractive valuation, sustainable dividend, and defensive risk profile makes the stock a candidate for a cautious accumulation strategy.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD and price below 20‑day SMA
  • Proximity to support at ¥5,729
  • High dividend yield providing cushion

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Undervalued PE relative to peers
  • Stable earnings and solid operating margins
  • Target mean price near current level indicating limited upside risk

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Sustainable dividend payout
  • Defensive beta and low geographic concentration
  • Consistent profitability in a regulated banking environment

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Profit Margin23.13%
P/E Ratio15.3
P/B Ratio1.1
Industry P/E17.3

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI47.5
Support¥5,729.00
Resistance¥7,334.00
MA 20¥6,575.15
MA 50¥5,980.98
MA 200¥4,738.53
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index75.32

Valuation

Target Price¥6,181.25
Upside/Downside0.15%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.07%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.74
Volatility54.81%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.