8354:TSEFukuoka Financial Group, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-11 - not real-time
¥6,172.00
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Fukuoka Financial Group is trading at ¥6,172, comfortably above its 50‑day SMA of ¥5,981 but below the 20‑day SMA of ¥6,575, indicating short‑term pressure within a longer‑term uptrend. The RSI of 47.5 suggests neutral momentum, while the MACD histogram is sharply negative (-108) and the signal line is bearish, flagging recent downside bias. Despite the technical softness, the stock’s PE of 15.25 is below the industry average of 17.28, and the PB of 1.11 signals a modest discount to book value. Dividend yield stands at 3.07% with a payout ratio of 38%, supporting income‑focused investors. Volatility is high at 54.8% over 30 days, yet beta of 0.74 points to moderate market sensitivity. Analysts’ consensus is a "hold" with a mean target price of ¥6,181, essentially flat to the current level. The firm’s operating margin of 38% and profit margin of 23% demonstrate solid profitability, though revenue growth is flat. With stable trading volume and a support zone near ¥5,729, downside risk is bounded, while the next resistance at ¥7,334 offers upside potential. The macro environment in Japan’s regional banking sector remains stable, and regulatory risk is moderate. Overall, the blend of attractive valuation, sustainable dividend, and defensive risk profile makes the stock a candidate for a cautious accumulation strategy.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bearish MACD and price below 20‑day SMA
- Proximity to support at ¥5,729
- High dividend yield providing cushion
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Undervalued PE relative to peers
- Stable earnings and solid operating margins
- Target mean price near current level indicating limited upside risk
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Sustainable dividend payout
- Defensive beta and low geographic concentration
- Consistent profitability in a regulated banking environment
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Profit Margin23.13%
P/E Ratio15.3
P/B Ratio1.1
Industry P/E17.3
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI47.5
Support¥5,729.00
Resistance¥7,334.00
MA 20¥6,575.15
MA 50¥5,980.98
MA 200¥4,738.53
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index75.32
Valuation
Target Price¥6,181.25
Upside/Downside0.15%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.07%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.74
Volatility54.81%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.