8331:TSEChiba Bank, Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-13 - not real-time
¥2,430.50
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The Chiba Bank is trading well above its 20‑day (≈2,352) and 50‑day (≈2,243) moving averages, with the price at ¥2,430 comfortably higher than the 200‑day level (≈1,892), confirming a strong bullish trend. Technical indicators such as an RSI of 62 and a bullish MACD histogram reinforce momentum, while the stock sits near its recent resistance of ¥2,519 with support around ¥2,195, offering limited upside of roughly 3‑5%. Volatility remains elevated at 34% over the past month, yet the beta of ~0.65 indicates lower market sensitivity, and the market sentiment is in the “Extreme Greed” zone.
Fundamentally, Chiba Bank posted an 18% revenue growth year‑over‑year, with robust operating (44%) and profit margins (28.5%). The dividend yield of 2.6% is backed by a modest 39% payout ratio, suggesting sustainability. Valuation is borderline, as the trailing P/E of 18x sits slightly above the industry average of 16.8x, while the price‑to‑book of 1.35 is reasonable. Analysts collectively rate the stock as a “Buy” with a median target of ¥2,570, implying modest upside, and the company’s strong cash position offsets its sizable debt load.
Fundamentally, Chiba Bank posted an 18% revenue growth year‑over‑year, with robust operating (44%) and profit margins (28.5%). The dividend yield of 2.6% is backed by a modest 39% payout ratio, suggesting sustainability. Valuation is borderline, as the trailing P/E of 18x sits slightly above the industry average of 16.8x, while the price‑to‑book of 1.35 is reasonable. Analysts collectively rate the stock as a “Buy” with a median target of ¥2,570, implying modest upside, and the company’s strong cash position offsets its sizable debt load.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bullish technical setup with price above key moving averages
- Proximity to resistance limiting immediate upside
- Strong dividend yield supporting investor interest
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Analyst consensus target price above current level
- Solid revenue growth and high operating margins
- Sustainable dividend and attractive yield
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Stable cash position and manageable debt
- Low beta indicating defensive characteristics
- Regulatory environment and sector stability in Japan
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth18.00%
Profit Margin28.55%
P/E Ratio18.2
ROE7.83%
ROA0.44%
P/B Ratio1.3
Op. Cash Flow¥-1602780004352
Industry P/E16.8
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI61.8
Support¥2,194.50
Resistance¥2,519.00
MA 20¥2,352.18
MA 50¥2,242.96
MA 200¥1,891.59
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.86
Valuation
Target Price¥2,505.00
Upside/Downside3.07%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.63%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.65
Volatility34.42%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.