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8331:TSEChiba Bank, Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-13 - not real-time

¥2,430.50

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The Chiba Bank is trading well above its 20‑day (≈2,352) and 50‑day (≈2,243) moving averages, with the price at ¥2,430 comfortably higher than the 200‑day level (≈1,892), confirming a strong bullish trend. Technical indicators such as an RSI of 62 and a bullish MACD histogram reinforce momentum, while the stock sits near its recent resistance of ¥2,519 with support around ¥2,195, offering limited upside of roughly 3‑5%. Volatility remains elevated at 34% over the past month, yet the beta of ~0.65 indicates lower market sensitivity, and the market sentiment is in the “Extreme Greed” zone.
Fundamentally, Chiba Bank posted an 18% revenue growth year‑over‑year, with robust operating (44%) and profit margins (28.5%). The dividend yield of 2.6% is backed by a modest 39% payout ratio, suggesting sustainability. Valuation is borderline, as the trailing P/E of 18x sits slightly above the industry average of 16.8x, while the price‑to‑book of 1.35 is reasonable. Analysts collectively rate the stock as a “Buy” with a median target of ¥2,570, implying modest upside, and the company’s strong cash position offsets its sizable debt load.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish technical setup with price above key moving averages
  • Proximity to resistance limiting immediate upside
  • Strong dividend yield supporting investor interest

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Analyst consensus target price above current level
  • Solid revenue growth and high operating margins
  • Sustainable dividend and attractive yield

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Stable cash position and manageable debt
  • Low beta indicating defensive characteristics
  • Regulatory environment and sector stability in Japan

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth18.00%
Profit Margin28.55%
P/E Ratio18.2
ROE7.83%
ROA0.44%
P/B Ratio1.3
Op. Cash Flow¥-1602780004352
Industry P/E16.8

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI61.8
Support¥2,194.50
Resistance¥2,519.00
MA 20¥2,352.18
MA 50¥2,242.96
MA 200¥1,891.59
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Valuation

Target Price¥2,505.00
Upside/Downside3.07%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.63%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.65
Volatility34.42%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.