8316:TSESumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-20 - not real-time
¥6,482.00
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group is trading at 6,482 JPY, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of 6,188 JPY and sitting just below the 52‑week high of 6,733 JPY, indicating strong upward momentum. Technicals are supportive with a bullish MACD histogram (+28.9) and an RSI of 61.5, suggesting continued buying pressure without being overbought. Volume is on an increasing trend, and the stock’s beta of roughly 0.4 points to lower volatility than the broader market, a factor reinforced by the “Extreme Greed” reading on the fear‑greed index (91.46). Recent price performance has been impressive, delivering a 13.3% gain over the past month and a 73% total shareholder return over the last year, while analysts (12 in total) rate the stock as a “buy.”
Valuation appears attractive: the trailing P/E of 15.7 sits below the industry average of 16.9, and the price‑to‑book ratio of 1.57 reflects a modest premium to book value. The dividend yield of 1.4% is backed by a payout ratio of 38%, indicating decent sustainability, and the consensus target price around 6,580 JPY suggests upside potential of roughly 1.6%. Combined with solid operating margins (≈27%) and a respectable ROE of 9.8%, the fundamentals support a buy case, though the negative operating cash flow warrants monitoring.
Valuation appears attractive: the trailing P/E of 15.7 sits below the industry average of 16.9, and the price‑to‑book ratio of 1.57 reflects a modest premium to book value. The dividend yield of 1.4% is backed by a payout ratio of 38%, indicating decent sustainability, and the consensus target price around 6,580 JPY suggests upside potential of roughly 1.6%. Combined with solid operating margins (≈27%) and a respectable ROE of 9.8%, the fundamentals support a buy case, though the negative operating cash flow warrants monitoring.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Bullish technical indicators (MACD, RSI) and rising volume
- Strong recent price momentum and analyst buy consensus
- Low beta indicating reduced short‑term volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Attractive valuation relative to industry peers
- Sustainable dividend payout with moderate yield
- Potential headwinds from regulatory and interest‑rate environments
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Consistent profitability and solid capital base
- Undervalued pricing offering upside potential
- Stable dividend and low long‑term volatility
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Profit Margin26.13%
P/E Ratio15.7
ROE9.78%
ROA0.51%
P/B Ratio1.6
Op. Cash Flow¥-21584777576448
Industry P/E16.9
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI61.5
Support¥5,793.00
Resistance¥6,733.00
MA 20¥6,188.45
MA 50¥5,854.94
MA 200¥5,081.51
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.46
Valuation
Target Price¥6,590.00
Upside/Downside1.67%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield1.40%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.70
Volatility31.08%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.