We use cookies to analyze site traffic and improve your experience.
By accepting, you consent to the use of analytics cookies.

8308:TSEResona Holdings, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-26 - not real-time

¥2,102.00

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Resona Holdings trades slightly below its 20‑day SMA (≈2,131) while remaining above the 50‑day SMA, indicating a short‑term pull‑back within a broader bullish trend. The MACD histogram is negative and the signal line is bearish, suggesting momentum may be weakening, yet the RSI sits near 49, reflecting a neutral stance. Volatility is elevated at roughly 33 % over the past month, but the beta of ~0.7 points to lower systematic risk, and the Fear‑Greed Index signals “Extreme Greed,” implying market optimism. On the fundamentals side, revenue is expanding at a healthy 15 % rate and the dividend yield of 1.76 % is backed by a modest 25 % payout ratio, supporting sustainability. However, operating cash flow is sharply negative, raising questions about earnings quality despite a solid ROE around 9 % and a strong cash position.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD divergence despite overall bullish trend
  • Price testing the 20‑day SMA resistance zone
  • High 30‑day volatility with stable trading volume

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Strong revenue growth and attractive dividend yield
  • Analyst consensus of “Buy” with a median target near 2,340
  • Valuation close to industry norms with modest upside potential

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Sustainable dividend policy amid a low payout ratio
  • Robust balance sheet with ample cash and low net debt
  • Potential headwinds from negative operating cash flow and Japan’s demographic trends

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth15.10%
Profit Margin22.97%
P/E Ratio18.5
ROE9.16%
ROA0.34%
P/B Ratio1.6
Op. Cash Flow¥-4878948106240
Industry P/E16.9

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI49.0
Support¥1,958.00
Resistance¥2,277.50
MA 20¥2,131.48
MA 50¥2,044.73
MA 200¥1,749.98
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index88.55

Valuation

Target Price¥2,132.73
Upside/Downside1.46%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.76%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.71
Volatility32.97%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.