8306:TSEMitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-12 - not real-time
¥3,162.00
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group is trading above its 20‑day moving average and comfortably above the 50‑day level, confirming a bullish trend supported by a bullish MACD crossover. The RSI sits in the low‑60s, indicating continued upward momentum without being overbought. Price‑to‑earnings is comfortably below the industry average, while the dividend yield exceeds 3%, offering an attractive income component. Recent earnings calls highlighted record profits and a target ROE of around 12%, underscoring solid profitability momentum.
The stock remains above a well‑defined support zone near JPY 2,964 and below the 52‑week high, suggesting limited downside risk and modest upside potential. Volatility is elevated but the beta is low, reflecting resilience in broader market moves. With a payout ratio under 45% and strong cash generation, the dividend appears sustainable. Analyst consensus is bullish, with a “buy” recommendation and a median price target above current levels, reinforcing the case for continued outperformance.
The stock remains above a well‑defined support zone near JPY 2,964 and below the 52‑week high, suggesting limited downside risk and modest upside potential. Volatility is elevated but the beta is low, reflecting resilience in broader market moves. With a payout ratio under 45% and strong cash generation, the dividend appears sustainable. Analyst consensus is bullish, with a “buy” recommendation and a median price target above current levels, reinforcing the case for continued outperformance.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bullish MACD and RSI indicating momentum
- Support level intact and stable volume
- Attractive dividend yield
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Record profit performance and ROE target
- PE advantage versus industry peers
- Sustainable payout ratio
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Consistent dividend policy
- Strategic global diversification reducing concentration risk
- Long‑term earnings growth outlook
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Profit Margin28.51%
P/E Ratio14.9
ROE11.91%
ROA0.61%
P/B Ratio1.6
Op. Cash Flow¥-33246165336064
Industry P/E16.8
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI61.3
Support¥2,964.00
Resistance¥3,305.00
MA 20¥3,092.90
MA 50¥2,936.50
MA 200¥2,626.82
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index87.43
Valuation
Target Price¥3,198.33
Upside/Downside1.15%
GradeFair
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.06%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.68
Volatility26.43%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.