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8306:TSEMitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-12 - not real-time

¥3,162.00

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group is trading above its 20‑day moving average and comfortably above the 50‑day level, confirming a bullish trend supported by a bullish MACD crossover. The RSI sits in the low‑60s, indicating continued upward momentum without being overbought. Price‑to‑earnings is comfortably below the industry average, while the dividend yield exceeds 3%, offering an attractive income component. Recent earnings calls highlighted record profits and a target ROE of around 12%, underscoring solid profitability momentum.
The stock remains above a well‑defined support zone near JPY 2,964 and below the 52‑week high, suggesting limited downside risk and modest upside potential. Volatility is elevated but the beta is low, reflecting resilience in broader market moves. With a payout ratio under 45% and strong cash generation, the dividend appears sustainable. Analyst consensus is bullish, with a “buy” recommendation and a median price target above current levels, reinforcing the case for continued outperformance.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD and RSI indicating momentum
  • Support level intact and stable volume
  • Attractive dividend yield

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Record profit performance and ROE target
  • PE advantage versus industry peers
  • Sustainable payout ratio

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Consistent dividend policy
  • Strategic global diversification reducing concentration risk
  • Long‑term earnings growth outlook

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Profit Margin28.51%
P/E Ratio14.9
ROE11.91%
ROA0.61%
P/B Ratio1.6
Op. Cash Flow¥-33246165336064
Industry P/E16.8

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI61.3
Support¥2,964.00
Resistance¥3,305.00
MA 20¥3,092.90
MA 50¥2,936.50
MA 200¥2,626.82
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index87.43

Valuation

Target Price¥3,198.33
Upside/Downside1.15%
GradeFair
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.06%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.68
Volatility26.43%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.