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8233:TSETakashimaya Company, Limited Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-22 - not real-time

CN¥15.83

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Li Ning (8233) is trading just above a key support level after a recent pullback that left the RSI in deep oversold territory, suggesting short‑term buying pressure could re‑emerge. The MACD remains in a bearish configuration, and the 20‑day SMA sits below both the 50‑day and 200‑day averages, indicating the broader trend is still neutral to slightly bearish. Volume is picking up, which may signal accumulation as investors test the support floor. The stock’s beta is notably low, pointing to limited correlation with broader market swings, yet 30‑day volatility is elevated, reflecting price swings that could surprise traders. With a price‑to‑book ratio under 1.5 and a solid cash position that dwarfs its modest debt load, the fundamentals appear resilient despite a modest revenue growth rate and the absence of a dividend. The market’s “Extreme Greed” sentiment index further underscores a risk‑on environment that could lift consumer‑focused brands like Li Ning if confidence persists.
Given these dynamics, the immediate outlook hinges on whether the price can hold above support and translate the oversold signal into a bounce, while medium‑ to long‑term prospects depend on the company’s ability to sustain margins and convert its cash strength into growth amid a competitive sports‑apparel landscape.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price hovering just above technical support
  • RSI indicating oversold conditions
  • Bearish MACD suggesting limited upside

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Strong cash balance relative to debt
  • Undervalued price‑to‑book ratio
  • Potential rebound from oversold momentum

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Sustainable gross and operating margins
  • Strategic brand positioning in Chinese sports market
  • Low beta indicating defensive characteristics over time

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth3.10%
Profit Margin9.92%
ROE10.93%
ROA7.01%
Debt/Equity7.44
P/B Ratio1.5
Op. Cash FlowCN¥4.9B
Free Cash FlowCN¥2.7B

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI28.0
SupportCN¥15.68
ResistanceCN¥18.15
MA 20CN¥16.83
MA 50CN¥17.80
MA 200CN¥17.07
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.54

Valuation

Target PriceCN¥21.09
Upside/Downside33.24%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta0.22
Volatility27.47%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.