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8111:TSEGoldwin Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-16 - not real-time

NT$67.20

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Ligitek Electronics is trading near its short‑term and mid‑term moving averages, but the short‑term average sits just below the mid‑term, hinting at slight bearish pressure. The relative strength index hovers around the neutral zone while the MACD remains in a bearish configuration, reinforcing the lack of upward momentum. Volume has been on a downtrend, suggesting waning buying interest, and the stock’s price is sandwiched between a clear support level and a higher resistance zone. Fundamental metrics tell a contrasting story: the price‑earnings multiple is dramatically above the industry norm, and the price‑to‑book multiple is also elevated, indicating that the market is pricing in expectations far beyond current earnings. The dividend payout ratio exceeds sustainable levels, raising concerns about dividend reliability. A discounted cash‑flow model places the fair value well below the current market price, underscoring the overvaluation. High volatility and a beta close to the market add to the risk profile, while the historical maximum drawdown highlights the potential for sizable declines. Investor sentiment appears bullish, as reflected by a greed‑dominated market sentiment index, yet the underlying financials lack the growth or profitability to justify such optimism. Overall, the stock presents a mismatch between market enthusiasm and fundamental reality, suggesting caution for investors.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • bearish MACD and neutral RSI
  • price above short‑term average but below resistance
  • declining trading volume

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • extremely high valuation multiples
  • weak earnings growth and thin margins
  • unsustainable dividend payout

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • DCF fair value far below market price
  • high historical drawdown risk
  • lack of growth catalysts and overreliance on dividend

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-0.50%
Profit Margin4.82%
P/E Ratio176.8
ROE2.99%
ROA1.35%
Debt/Equity45.07
P/B Ratio5.5
Op. Cash FlowNT$177.9M
Free Cash FlowNT$142.5M
Industry P/E33.7

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI51.2
SupportNT$59.30
ResistanceNT$74.30
MA 20NT$66.75
MA 50NT$67.97
MA 200NT$58.60
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Fair ValueNT$20.89
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield1.34%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.99
Volatility61.33%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.